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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (92E):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure 
several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are showing 
signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm 
is likely to form this weekend as the system moves 
west-northwestward. Interests in southern and southwestern Mexico 
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (91E): 
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure south of southwestern Mexico are beginning to show some 
signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is 
expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the 
weekend or early next week while the system moves generally 
west-northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

3. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south 
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
some gradual development of this system as it moves 
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Berg/Jelsema