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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure 
continues to move westward across the Florida Panhandle and is 
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity mainly south 
of its center. This system is forecast to continue moving westward, 
and could emerge or redevelop over the far northeastern to 
north-central portion of the Gulf, reaching the coast of Louisiana 
by Thursday. If this system moves far enough offshore, environmental 
conditions over the Gulf appear generally favorable for additional 
development, and a tropical depression could still form over the 
next couple of days before the system moves fully inland by the end 
of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized 
flash flooding over portions of Florida through through today.  
Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the 
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late today and continuing through 
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued 
by your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Papin