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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a weakening 
frontal boundary near Florida or the Atlantic coast of the 
southeastern United States by early this weekend. Environmental 
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slow 
development, but a tropical or subtropical depression could form in 
this region over the weekend or early next week while the system 
drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy 
rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U.S., 
particularly across the west-central Florida coast. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Papin