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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jun 22 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in 
association with an area of the low pressure located about 450 miles 
east of Bermuda. Earlier satellite-derived wind data indicated the 
system possessed a well-defined surface circulation, and additional 
organization of the shower and thunderstorm activity could lead to 
the formation of a short-lived tropical depression over the next day 
or so. By Tuesday, this system is expected to encounter less 
favorable environmental conditions, ending its opportunity for 
further development. Regardless of development, the system is 
forecast to move northeastward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the 
open central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Papin