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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112023
0300 UTC TUE SEP 05 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 105.6W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 105.6W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 105.1W
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.0N 106.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.6N 107.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.3N 110.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.1N 112.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.1N 114.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.4N 117.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 105.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
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