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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032022
1500 UTC TUE JUN 21 2022
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 99.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 99.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 98.9W
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.0N 101.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.7N 103.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.4N 104.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.3N 106.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.2N 107.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.8N 108.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 17.0N 111.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.4N 114.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 99.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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