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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
1500 UTC TUE JUN 21 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  99.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  99.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  98.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.0N 101.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.7N 103.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.4N 104.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.3N 106.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.2N 107.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.8N 108.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 17.0N 111.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.4N 114.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N  99.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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