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HURRICANE ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
1500 UTC WED NOV 11 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST 
FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO BONITA BEACH...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY AND 
CHARLOTTE HARBOR. 
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR CUBA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONITA BEACH TO SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY
AND CHARLOTTE HARBOR

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO YANKEETOWN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DRY TORTUGAS
* BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* STEINHATCHEE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO AUCILLA RIVER FLORIDA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 
INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN 
THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A 
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  
THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE 
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND 
PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS 
CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM 
LOCAL OFFICIALS. 
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS 
AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE 
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF ETA.  ADDITIONAL WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  83.7W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  83.7W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  83.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.5N  83.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.9N  82.7W...NEAR FLORIDA COAST
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.5N  81.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.6N  79.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.5N  76.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.1N  73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N  83.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 11/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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