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Tropical Depression Mario Discussion Number  22...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142019
300 PM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019

Corrected status at 48H (24/1800Z)

Mario has maintained its reprieve from discontinuance of
advisories, with a few thunderstorms persisting to the west of the
low-level center.  This continues to barely support tropical cyclone
status.  Assuming that this convection dissipates soon, the cyclone
could degenerate into remnant low by early Monday.  The system is
likely to dissipate completely in a couple of days.

Mario continues to move north-northwestward, or 345 at 9 kt.  The
cyclone should move around the western periphery of a mid-level
anticyclone and make landfall over the south-central Baja
California on Tuesday as a very weak system.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/2100Z 22.9N 112.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  23/0600Z 24.0N 113.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  23/1800Z 25.3N 114.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  24/0600Z 26.4N 114.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  24/1800Z 27.5N 113.6W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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