ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA Tropical Depression Mario Discussion Number 22...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142019 300 PM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 Corrected status at 48H (24/1800Z) Mario has maintained its reprieve from discontinuance of advisories, with a few thunderstorms persisting to the west of the low-level center. This continues to barely support tropical cyclone status. Assuming that this convection dissipates soon, the cyclone could degenerate into remnant low by early Monday. The system is likely to dissipate completely in a couple of days. Mario continues to move north-northwestward, or 345 at 9 kt. The cyclone should move around the western periphery of a mid-level anticyclone and make landfall over the south-central Baja California on Tuesday as a very weak system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 22.9N 112.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/0600Z 24.0N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 23/1800Z 25.3N 114.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/0600Z 26.4N 114.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/1800Z 27.5N 113.6W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 31-Dec-2019 12:10:08 UTC