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TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032019
1500 UTC SAT JUL 06 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 115.7W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 80SE 0SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 115.7W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 115.1W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.3N 117.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.0N 119.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.9N 120.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.8N 121.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.2N 122.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.0N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 115.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
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FORECASTER BLAKE
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