Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane LANE


ZCZC HFOPWSCP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP142018         
2100 UTC TUE AUG 21 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135  
KTS...155 MPH...250 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BUOY 51004     34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   4(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
20N 154W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   6(10)  10(20)   2(22)   X(22)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
15N 155W       34 95   5(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
15N 155W       50 40  53(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
15N 155W       64  6  69(75)   1(76)   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 
HILO           34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)  12(21)   2(23)   X(23)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   9(12)  20(32)   3(35)   X(35)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
BRADSHAW AAF   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
18N 156W       34  1  11(12)  52(64)  23(87)   3(90)   1(91)   X(91)
18N 156W       50  X   1( 1)  14(15)  36(51)   7(58)   X(58)   X(58)
18N 156W       64  X   X( X)   3( 3)  23(26)   7(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  1   3( 4)  20(24)  37(61)  14(75)   1(76)   1(77)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)  12(28)   1(29)   X(29)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)  36(47)   5(52)   1(53)
21N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   3(15)   X(15)
21N 156W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)  31(39)  30(69)   4(73)   X(73)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  19(25)   2(27)   X(27)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)  30(36)   6(42)   X(42)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   2(13)   X(13)
KAHULUI        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)  57(67)  10(77)   1(78)
21N 158W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  30(31)   8(39)   1(40)
21N 158W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   6(19)   X(19)
 
HANA           34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)  38(51)   5(56)   1(57)
HANA           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   2(16)   X(16)
HANA           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)  51(65)   7(72)   1(73)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  29(30)   5(35)   X(35)
LANAI CITY     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   3(16)   X(16)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)  50(60)   9(69)   X(69)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  24(25)   6(31)   X(31)
KAUNAKAKAI     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   4(16)   X(16)
 
BUOY 51002     34  1   5( 6)  42(48)  26(74)   5(79)   1(80)   X(80)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   7( 7)  26(33)   6(39)   X(39)   X(39)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  37(41)  11(52)   1(53)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   7(21)   X(21)
HONOLULU       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  37(41)  11(52)   1(53)
JOINT BASE PHH 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   8(21)   X(21)
JOINT BASE PHH 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  32(35)  25(60)   3(63)
LIHUE          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  14(21)   1(22)
LIHUE          64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  25(27)  27(54)   3(57)
BARKING SANDS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   1(18)
BARKING SANDS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
 
15N 160W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  33(39)  10(49)   1(50)
20N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   6(15)   X(15)
20N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   2(14)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)  27(52)   3(55)
NIIHAU         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   1(16)
NIIHAU         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  31(35)  19(54)   2(56)
21N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)   X(18)
21N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  18(23)   7(30)   1(31)
BUOY 51003     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
BUOY 51003     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  17(21)   9(30)
NIHOA          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
NIHOA          64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
BUOY 51101     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   5(16)
 
22N 164W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   8(15)
22N 164W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NECKER         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)
 
20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 
25N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER JACOBSON                                                 
NNNN