Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane NATE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE NATE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162017               
2100 UTC SAT OCT 07 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS
...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  1   7( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  3   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  3  75(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
BIRMINGHAM AL  50  X  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  5  43(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
MONTGOMERY AL  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34 45   8(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
WHITING FLD FL 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34 58   5(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
PENSACOLA FL   50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 17   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
MOBILE AL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MOBILE AL      50 71   4(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
MOBILE AL      64 14   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GULFPORT MS    50 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
GULFPORT MS    64 66   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 
STENNIS MS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
STENNIS MS     50 56   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
STENNIS MS     64 12   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
BURAS LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BURAS LA       50 29   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
BURAS LA       64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSON MS     34 16  11(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 62   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN