ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125
KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   4( 9)   3(12)   7(19)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GRAND TURK     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   5(12)   6(18)  10(28)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   7(13)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   5( 7)

PONCE PR       34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   4( 8)

AGUADILLA PR   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   5(10)

SAN JUAN PR    34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   4( 9)

VIEQUES PR     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   4( 8)

SAINT THOMAS   34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   3( 8)

SAINT CROIX    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   2( 8)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)

BARBUDA        34  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
NNNN