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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  59
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0300 UTC WED SEP 20 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH... INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 
THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM VIRGINIA
NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N  70.8W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  75SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 190SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 270SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N  70.8W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.6N  71.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 38.8N  69.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 180SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.6N  68.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 180SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.7N  67.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 180SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 39.5N  67.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 38.7N  69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 38.5N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 38.5N  70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.9N  70.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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