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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0900 UTC WED OCT 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO THE FERNANDINA BEACH

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
HAITI

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  74.6W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  74.6W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  74.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.3N  75.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.9N  76.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.5N  78.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.2N  79.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 30.5N  80.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 32.8N  77.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 33.1N  74.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N  74.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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