Tropical Depression SEVEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072012
2100 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 

INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  43.8W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  43.8W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  42.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.6N  46.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.5N  53.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 13.8N  57.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.6N  64.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 15.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 16.5N  77.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  43.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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