Tropical Storm NATE

ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152011
0900 UTC THU SEP 08 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  92.4W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE 120SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  92.4W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  92.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.4N  92.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  90SE 120SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.6N  92.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  90SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.2N  92.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.8N  93.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.7N  94.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 23.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 23.0N  97.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  92.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH
 
 
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