Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112010
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 04 2010
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY...ALONG WITH MEXICAN RADAR AND SURFACE DATA...
INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE
AREA OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.  THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
MOVE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNTIL DISSIPATION.
 
ALTHOUGH THE LOW IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE...THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
SEVERAL LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THE POSSIBILITY OF A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMING IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO.  IT IS UNCLEAR WHETHER THIS WOULD COME FROM THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E OR A BRAND NEW
DEVELOPMENT.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      04/1500Z 17.0N  95.8W    25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12HR VT     05/0000Z 17.8N  96.4W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24HR VT     05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
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FORECASTER BEVEN
 
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