Tropical Storm JULIA

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TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  28.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  45SE  45SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  28.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  27.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.3N  29.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.5N  31.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.1N  32.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.1N  35.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 24.3N  40.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.5N  46.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 31.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  28.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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