Hurricane IGOR

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HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112010
1500 UTC MON SEP 13 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  49.7W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  933 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  49.7W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  49.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.9N  50.8W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  65SE  55SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.7N  52.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.5N  53.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.6N  55.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  65SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 23.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 130SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 25.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 29.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  49.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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