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Tropical Depression FOUR-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042007               
2100 UTC MON JUL 09 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 174N 1200W 34 16   5(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 12 174N 1200W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 174N 1200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 178N 1212W 34  2  10(12)   3(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 24 178N 1212W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 178N 1212W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 184N 1226W 34  X   3( 3)   8(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 36 184N 1226W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 184N 1226W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 190N 1243W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 190N 1243W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 190N 1243W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 200N 1275W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 200N 1275W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 200N 1275W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      25      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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