Hurricane ISAAC
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 10(37) X(37) X(37)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 18(18) 38(56) 2(58) X(58) X(58)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 17(17) 15(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 355N 604W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 355N 604W 50 67 12(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
12 355N 604W 64 44 8(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
24 398N 589W 34 1 79(80) 8(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
24 398N 589W 50 X 39(39) 8(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
24 398N 589W 64 X 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 446N 554W 34 X 1( 1) 57(58) 10(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
36 446N 554W 50 X X( X) 18(18) 6(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
36 446N 554W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 485N 509W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 40(42) 9(51) X(51) X(51)
48 485N 509W 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16)
48 485N 509W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 525N 420W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) X(31) X(31)
72 525N 420W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 525N 420W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 75 65 55 50 45 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART
NNNN
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