Hurricane PHILIPPE

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HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
2100Z MON SEP 19 2005
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  56.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  56.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  56.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.7N  56.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.9N  57.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.8N  57.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.7N  58.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 27.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 31.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 36.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  56.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
 
 
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