Hurricane STAN
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TROPICAL STORM STAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE OCT 04 2005
STAN CONTINUES TO PUSH FARTHER INLAND AND WEAKEN. THE INITIAL
MOTION IS 230/5...AND THIS GENERAL TRACK IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
UNTIL THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DISSIPATES OVER THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN RANGE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. THE MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF STAN SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC...WHERE SOME REGENERATION IS
POSSIBLE.
THE MAIN THREAT FROM STAN CONTINUES TO BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES LIKELY.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 04/2100Z 17.8N 95.6W 45 KT
12HR VT 05/0600Z 17.3N 96.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING
24HR VT 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
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