Tropical Storm HERMINE
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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST WED SEP 1 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
35.6N 73.1W 42 X X X 42 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 16 X X 16
39.0N 72.0W 1 22 X X 23 NEW YORK CITY NY X 9 X X 9
WILMINGTON NC 2 2 X X 4 MONTAUK POINT NY X 6 X X 6
MOREHEAD CITY NC 10 6 X X 16 PROVIDENCE RI X 3 X X 3
CAPE HATTERAS NC 23 5 X X 28 NANTUCKET MA X 3 X X 3
NORFOLK VA 5 16 X X 21 HYANNIS MA X 2 X X 2
OCEAN CITY MD 1 22 X X 23
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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