Hurricane CHARLEY

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HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.5N  82.3W      47  1  X  X 48   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1 21 22
25.5N  82.5W       1 34  2  X 37   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 19 19
29.5N  81.5W       X  1 29  2 32   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 15 15
MKJP 179N 768W    25  X  X  X 25   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 18 18
MKJS 185N 779W    99  X  X  X 99   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X 14 14
MWCG 193N 814W    65  X  X  X 65   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X 10 10
MUCF 221N 805W    35  X  X  X 35   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W    52  X  X  X 52   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W    40  4  X  X 44   KEY WEST FL       10 25  X  X 35
MUAN 219N 850W    11  5  X  X 16   MARCO ISLAND FL    X 30  4  X 34
MYGF 266N 787W     X  3  5  1  9   FT MYERS FL        X 27  8  1 36
MARATHON FL        6 23  1  X 30   VENICE FL          X 23 13  X 36
MIAMI FL           X 18  5  X 23   TAMPA FL           X 12 23  X 35
W PALM BEACH FL    X 12 11  X 23   CEDAR KEY FL       X  2 29  1 32
FT PIERCE FL       X  9 17  X 26   ST MARKS FL        X  X 20  3 23
COCOA BEACH FL     X  6 22  1 29   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X 16  2 18
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  2 28  1 31   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X 10  4 14
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X 26  4 30   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  2  1  3
SAVANNAH GA        X  X 14 15 29   GULF 29N 85W       X  1 17  2 20
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  6 21 27   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  3  1  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  2 23 25
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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