Tropical Storm BONNIE

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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT FRI AUG 13 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.8N  89.5W      34  X  X  X 34   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
28.5N  87.5W       5 21  3  X 29   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  1  2
31.0N  84.0W       X  1 19  2 22   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2  3  5
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3   FT MYERS FL        X  X  3  4  7
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2   VENICE FL          X  X  6  4 10
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3   TAMPA FL           X  X  8  5 13
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  4  5   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X 14  3 17
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  6  7   ST MARKS FL        X  2 19  1 22
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  2  8 10   APALACHICOLA FL    X  5 19  X 24
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  4  9 13   PANAMA CITY FL     X  9 17  X 26
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  8  9 17   PENSACOLA FL       X 18  9  X 27
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  5 13 18   MOBILE AL          1 18  5  X 24
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  2 14 16   GULFPORT MS        2 17  3  X 22
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 15 15   BURAS LA           9 14  X  1 24
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 13 13   NEW ORLEANS LA     5 11  1  X 17
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 12 12   NEW IBERIA LA      2  4  X  X  6
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 10 10   GULF 29N 85W       X  6 17  1 24
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 11 11   GULF 29N 87W       2 21  6  X 29
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  8  8   GULF 28N 89W      21  8  X  1 30
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W      20  2  X  X 22
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 93W       4  1  X  X  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
C FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
D FROM  1PM THU TO  1PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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