Hurricane HOWARD

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HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112004
2100Z THU SEP 02 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 114.3W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 114.3W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 113.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.4N 115.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N 116.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.6N 117.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.0N 117.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 27.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 28.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 114.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
 
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