Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112004
0300Z TUE AUG 31 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 105.2W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 105.2W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 104.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.3N 106.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.5N 109.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.5N 111.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.2N 114.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.2N 116.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 21.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 105.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
FORECASTER SISKO/STEWART
 
 
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