Tropical Depression THREE-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032004
2100Z MON JUL 12 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 107.3W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 107.3W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 106.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.9N 108.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.7N 111.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.2N 113.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 25.0N 122.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 25.0N 126.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 107.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
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