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Hurricane KATE

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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
0900Z FRI OCT 03 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  47.8W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..700NE 300SE 300SW 700NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  47.8W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  47.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.3N  49.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 30.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 32.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 48.0N  52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N  47.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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