Tropical Depression SIXTEEN
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162003
1500Z FRI SEP 26 2003
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 40.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 40.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 40.3W
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.2N 42.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.9N 44.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 35SE 35SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.3N 46.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.7N 47.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 24.1N 49.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 25.8N 48.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 27.1N 46.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 40.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA/SISKO
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