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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
1500Z FRI SEP 26 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  40.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  40.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  40.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.2N  42.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.9N  44.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  35SE  35SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.3N  46.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.7N  47.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 24.1N  49.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 25.8N  48.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 27.1N  46.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  40.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA/SISKO
 
 
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