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Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151717
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu May 15 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. 

&&
Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane
season, which will run until November 30.  Long-term averages for
the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are
15, 8, and 4, respectively.

The list of names for 2025 is as follows:

Name           Pronunciation    Name            Pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
Alvin          AL-vin           Mario           MAR-ee-o
Barbara        BAR-bruh         Narda           NAHR-duh
Cosme          COS-may          Octave          AHK-tayv
Dalila         dah-LY-lah       Priscilla       prih-SIH-luh
Erick          EHR-ik           Raymond         RAY-mund
Flossie        FLOSS-ee         Sonia           SOHN-yah
Gil            gill             Tico            TEE-koh
Henriette      hen-ree-ETT      Velma           VELL-muh
Ivo            EE-voh           Wallis          WAHL-lis
Juliette       joo-lee-ET       Xina            ZEE-nah
Kiko           KEE-ko           York            york
Lorena         low-RAY-na       Zelda           ZEL-dah

A full list of eastern North Pacific basin tropical cyclone names 
and pronunciations can be found at: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_epac.pdf

This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days.  The issuance
times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT.  After
the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 
4 AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide 
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances 
of the Tropical Weather Outlook.  Special Tropical Weather Outlooks 
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular 
Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone 
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and 
a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all 
ongoing tropical cyclones.  In addition, a special advisory package 
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected 
changes or to modify watches or warnings.

NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for 
disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose 
the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to 
land areas within 72 hours.  For these land-threatening "potential 
tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and 
watch/warning products.  Potential tropical cyclones share the 
naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions, 
being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One-E", "Two-E", 
"Three-E", etc.).  

The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of 
significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel 
watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between 
intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by 
radar.  The Tropical Cyclone Update is also used in lieu of or to 
precede the issuance of a special advisory package.  Tropical 
Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found 
under WMO header WTPZ61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUEP1-5.

All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at 
https://www.hurricanes.gov.  More information on NHC text and 
graphical products can be found at 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product_Description.pdf.  New and 
updated products for the 2025 season can be found at 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_New_Products_Updates_2025.pdf.

You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at 
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC.  Notifications are available 
via X when select NHC products are issued.  Information about our 
east and central Pacific X feed (@NHC_Pacific) is available at 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/socialmedia

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi