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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


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917 
ABNT20 KNHC 032332
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the Florida 
Peninsula eastward to the adjacent waters of the southwestern 
Atlantic Ocean are associated with a weak surface trough of low 
pressure.  Environmental conditions are forecast to become more 
conducive for development, and a tropical or subtropical 
depression could form in this region over the weekend while the 
system drifts northward or northeastward.  Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of 
west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and 
across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on 
Saturday.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 
scheduled to investigate the system on Friday, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake