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476 
ABNT20 KNHC 230531
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization 
overnight with an area of the low pressure located about 500 miles 
east of Bermuda. Recent satellite-derived wind data also indicates 
the system has a well-defined surface circulation with maximum 
sustained winds of 30-35 mph. While environmental conditions are 
only marginally favorable, only a small increase in organization and 
persistence of the current shower and thunderstorm activity is 
likely to result in the formation of a short-lived tropical 
depression or storm, as soon as later today. By Tuesday, this system 
is expected to encounter less favorable environmental conditions, 
ending its opportunity for further development. Regardless of 
development, the system is forecast to move northeastward at 5 to 10 
mph, remaining over the open central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin