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678 
ABNT20 KNHC 151140
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

East of the Florida Peninsula into the Northeastern Gulf (AL93):
Satellite and radar data indicate that the shower and thunderstorm 
activity associated with the low pressure located just offshore of 
the east coast of Florida remains disorganized. This system is 
forecast to move westward across the Florida Peninsula today and 
then reach the northeastern Gulf by Wednesday.  Environmental 
conditions appear generally favorable for additional development, 
and a tropical depression could form while the system moves across 
the northeastern and north-central Gulf.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized 
flash flooding over portions of Florida through mid-week. Heavy 
rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the 
north-central Gulf Coast during the middle to latter portions of 
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci