000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061023 CCA
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Jul 06 2026

Corrected forecast under Offshore Waters Within 250 nm of Mexico 

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0945 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along a position from 16N114W to 
05N116W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered 
moderate convection is west of the wave to 120W from 08N to 12N,
and within 60 nm east of the wave from 08N to 12N.
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from northwest Colombia 
southwestward through southern Costa Rica, then northwestward to 
09N87W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N95W to 07N104W to
09N114W, then resumes at 08N122W to 07N132W and to beyond 
08N140W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from the 
Equator to 08N west of 132W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong
convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 115W-130W. Scattered 
moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 
88W-90W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...Corrected

A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific across 
the Baja California waters to near 19N115W. The pressure gradient
between this ridge and relatively lower pressures over northwest 
Mexico is generally supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds
offshore Baja California. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over these waters. 
Fresh north winds are along the Gulf of Tehuantepec coast and 
offshore for about 60 nm. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in long-period 
southwest swell. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate northwest to north 
winds are present per latest scatterometer satellite data along with 
seas of 4 to 6 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Inside 
the Gulf, light to variable winds are over the northern Gulf of 
California, and southeast to south moderate winds over the rest of 
the Gulf. Seas are 3 to 4 ft over the Gulf.

Numerous moderate to strong convection is seen from 13N to 16N 
between 91W and 95.5W, including the eastern portion of the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec.

For the forecast, the surface ridge will build east-southeastward 
across the offshore waters of Baja California through Wed night, 
with the resultant gradient leading to moderate to fresh northwest 
winds over these same waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds in the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec will begin to pulse at fresh to strong speeds 
starting Tue morning, and pulse at night into the mornings afterward 
through Wed, then at fresh speeds through the rest of the week.
Southern Hemispheric cross-equatorial swell moving through the 
waters off southern Mexico tonight is producing peak seas of 8 ft. 
These seas should continue through Wed. Expect fresh to strong 
southerly winds in the northern Gulf of California Thu through Fri. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong northeast winds are continuing across the Papagayo 
region and extend offshore to near 92W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft in 
long-period south to southwest swell. Mostly gentle to moderate 
south to southwest winds are noted elsewhere south of 10N along with 
seas seas of 4 to 6 ft in cross-equatorial long-period southwest 
swell.

For the forecast, the fresh to strong northeast to east gap 
winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region will continue into early Thu.
Large cross-equatorial southerly swell will move through the 
waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands through early Wed, 
building seas to a peak of 9 ft. The combination of the southerly
swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will 
allow combined seas to build to a peak of about 8 ft offshore of 
northern Central America Tue through Wed. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A broad ridge continues across the northeast Pacific and north 
of the discussion area. It extends southeastward to near 
the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this 
ridge and the remnant trough of Douglas analyzed from near 
27N128W to 21N132W is producing fresh northeast winds within 180
nm west of the trough from 25N to 28N, and within 120 nm east of
the trough from 25N to 28N. Seas are to 8 ft in a mix of
northeast and southeast swell over these waters. The gradient 
associated to the ridge generally supports gentle to moderate 
trades from 09N to 16N west of about 118W, and from 09N to 13N 
between 110W and 118W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters in 
mixed swell. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to east 
winds downstream from the Papagayo region are from 08N to 12N 
between 91W and 105W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft with these winds as 
noted in the latest altimeter satellite data over this part of 
the area. Light to gentle easterly winds are elsewhere east of 
110W. Seas of 4 to 6 ft primarily in long-period southwest swell 
are over this part of the area.

Convection is noted with the aforementioned tropical wave that 
extends from near 16N114W to 05N116W.

For the forecast, the remnant trough of Douglas will continue 
drifting westward through the rest of the week. The ridge will 
build east-southeastward through Wed night, with the gradient 
between it and the remnant Douglas trough leading to a solid
area of fresh trades over the western half of the area along 
with seas of 7 to 8 ft. The tropical wave will continue moving 
westward with scattered moderate convection.

$$
Aguirre