000
AXPZ20 KNHC 060857
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0835 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Hurricane Marie is centered near 23.1N 121.9W at 06/0900 UTC,
moving northwest at 7 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is
971 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 80 kt with gusts to 100
kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is present 
from 19N to 25N and between 117W and 124W. A turn toward the west- 
northwest is forecast tonight or on Monday. Marie is then expected 
to resume a northwestward heading at a faster forward speed by 
Tuesday. Steady weakening is expected to begin later today and 
continue for the next several days. Marie is forecast to become a 
post-tropical remnant low on Wednesday. Swells generated by Marie
will continue to affect portions of the coast of southwest 
Mexico, the Baja California Peninsula, and Southern California 
for the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult 
products from your local weather office.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest 
Marie NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at 
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
 
...TROPICAL WAVES...
 
A tropical wave is along 106W, extending from SW Mexico to 04N, 
moving westward at 5-10 kt. A few showers are noted near the 
trough axis. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 12N112W, then 
continues from 13N126W to beyond 12N140W. Scattered moderate to 
isolated strong convection is occurring from 01N to 18N and east
of 114W. Similar convection is found from 01N to 10N and west of
114W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please see the Special Features section for information on 
Hurricane Marie centered well west of Baja California, Mexico.

Hurricane Marie is producing moderate to locally strong cyclonic 
winds and very rough seas across the far offshore waters of Baja 
California, especially west of 116W and south of 27N. In the rest of 
the Baja California waters, moderate or weaker winds and rough seas 
are noted. In the remainder of the Mexican offshore waters, moderate 
or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few 
showers are observed in the central Gulf of California and off SW 
Mexico.

For the forecast, Hurricane Marie is near 23.1N 121.9W at 2 AM
PDT, and is moving northwest at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 
are 80 kt with gusts to 100 kt, and the minimum central pressure 
is 971 mb. Marie will move to 23.8N 122.7W this afternoon, weaken
to a tropical storm near 24.5N 123.7W Mon morning, 25.1N 125.0W 
Mon afternoon, 25.8N 126.4W Tue morning, 27.0N 127.4W Tue 
afternoon, and 28.7N 128.2W Wed morning. Marie will weaken to a 
remnant low over 32.7N 130.3W early Thu. Elsewhere, moderate to 
fresh winds are expected to develop in the nearshore waters of 
Baja California and N Gulf of California early this week as 
Marie moves away. 

Looking ahead, a trough of low pressure located several hundred 
miles south of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of 
this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form 
during the middle or latter portions of next week while the 
system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The 
system has a medium chance of tropical formation in the next 7 
days. The next gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec may 
occur by mid to late next week.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A scatterometer satellite pass from a few hours ago captured
fresh easterly winds across the Gulf of Papagayo region. Seas are
5-7 ft in these waters. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and 
slight to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and isolated 
thunderstorms are affecting much of the offshore waters of
Central America and Colombia, producing gusty winds and higher 
seas.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will support
moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across the Gulf
of Papagayo region through the next several days. Building ridge
by the middle of the week will result in strong gap winds and 
rough seas. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh southerly winds are 
expected in the waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands 
through at least midweek, decreasing somewhat today and Mon. 
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds will prevail.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please see the Special Features section for information about
Hurricane Marie located well west of Baja California, Mexico.

Away from the impact of Hurricane Marie in the NE waters, fresh
cyclonic winds and rough seas persist from 21N to 28N and west 
of 138W associated with the outer eastern quadrant of Tropical 
Storm Karina that continues to move farther away from the eastern
Pacific basin. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds with seas of 
5-7 ft are prevalent across the remainder of the tropical eastern
Pacific.

For the forecast, Hurricane Marie is near 23.1N 121.9W at 2 AM
PDT, and is moving northwest at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 
are 80 kt with gusts to 100 kt, and the minimum central pressure 
is 971 mb. Marie will move to 23.8N 122.7W this afternoon, weaken
to a tropical storm near 24.5N 123.7W Mon morning, 25.1N 125.0W 
Mon afternoon, 25.8N 126.4W Tue morning, 27.0N 127.4W Tue 
afternoon, and 28.7N 128.2W Wed morning. Marie will weaken to a 
remnant low over 32.7N 130.3W early Thu.

Looking ahead, cross equatorial swell will produce seas to 8 ft
in the southern waters west of 100W during much of the week. A 
trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the
coast of southwestern Mexico is producing disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is 
possible, and a tropical depression could form during the middle 
or latter portions of next week while the system moves generally 
west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. This system has a medium 
chance of tropical formation over the next 7 days. 

$$
Delgado