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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 070131
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 90W, north of 03N, moving 
westward at 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 106W, north of 02N, moving 
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 125W, north of 02N, moving 
westward at around 5 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 140W, from 02N to 19N, 
moving westward at 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 10N96W. Segments of 
the ITCZ extend from 10N96W to 10N105W, from 09N108W to 10N122W 
and from 09N126W to 10N138W. Scattered moderate to isolated 
strong convection is noted N of 05N and E of 95W, from 03N to 
15N between 95W and 110W, and from 04N to 10N between 123W and
130W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are over the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec. Moderate or weaker winds, and moderate seas, 
prevail over the remainder of the open waters off Mexico. Gentle 
to locally moderate winds and slight to moderate seas are over 
the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds and rough seas are 
expected across the Gulf of Tehuantepec into the weekend. 
Elsewhere, a moderate pressure gradient will support mostly 
gentle to moderate winds across the offshore waters of Mexico. 
The pressure gradient between high pressure NW of the area and 
lower pressure over the Colorado River Valley will support fresh 
southerly winds across the northern Gulf of California late this 
weekend into early next week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong winds, and moderate seas, prevail over and 
downstream the Gulf of Papagayo. Gentle to moderate winds are 
found SW of the Galapagos Islands. Light to gentle winds and 
moderate seas are noted elsewhere. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds and occasional rough
seas will pulse across the Gulf of Papagayo into early next 
week. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in SW swell are 
expected across the remainder of the waters through the period, 
except for large SE to S swell near the Galapagos early next 
week. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N. The pressure
gradient between this area of high pressure and a tropical wave
near 140W is supporting moderate to fresh winds from 15N to 20N 
and W of 135W. Seas over these waters are near 8 ft. Rough seas
to 8 ft are found over the waters S of 05N between 100W and 
120W. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas 
prevail.

For the forecast, seas to 8 ft in the vicinity of the tropical 
wave will subside by Sat as the wave moves further west of the
area. Farther south, southerly swell to 8 ft will impact the 
waters south of 05N and west of 100W through the weekend.

$$
AL