692
AXPZ20 KNHC 250730
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Apr 25 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0730 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 06N108W. The ITCZ
continues from 06N108W to 05N140W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 10N between 82W
and 127W, and from 03N to 07N between 133W and 140W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Gentle to moderate winds prevail west of the Baja California
peninsula then extending southward to offshore Cabo Corrientes.
Light to gentle winds are elsewhere over the open waters off
Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds are in the northern Gulf of
California, with light to gentle winds elsewhere in the Gulf.
Seas are in the 5-6 ft range over the open waters off Mexico, and
3 ft or less in the Gulf of California.
For the forecast, fresh NW winds will pulse offshore of Baja
California Sur, including near Cabo San Lucas, tonight and
Sat night. Fresh to strong SW winds will pulse in the northern
Gulf of California nightly through this weekend. Widespread
moderate to fresh NW winds, and rough seas, will develop this
weekend and continue into next week offshore of Baja California.
Fresh to occasional strong N winds will pulse in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec this weekend.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Moderate to locally fresh winds are in the Gulf of Papagayo and
Panama. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the
4-6 ft range, except to 7 ft S of the Galapagos Islands.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh E winds will pulse in the
Gulf of Papagayo each night and morning into next week. In the
Gulf of Panama, moderate to locally fresh winds will pulse
nightly into Sat, with generally moderate winds expected
thereafter. Long period southerly swell will bring rough seas
offshore of Ecuador tonight into Sun, including near the
Galapagos Islands.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA....
High pressure dominates the waters N of 15N. The pressure
gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in
the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh winds N
of the ITCZ to near 18N and W of 120W. Seas over these waters are
in the 7-9 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 5-6
ft, are N of 18N and W of 130W. Gentle winds, and seas of 5-6 ft
are elsewhere over the discussion waters.
For the forecast, little change in winds are expected across the
discussion waters. Rough seas will prevail over the area of
fresh winds in the tradewind zone over the western waters through
the period. Long period S swell will propagate into the southern
waters, bringing rough seas to the waters south of 05N between
100W and 120W through Sat morning before seas slowly subside by
Sun. Locally fresh N to NW winds and rough seas will develop
tonight north of 27N behind a cold front moving through the
northern waters.
$$
AL