000
AXPZ20 KNHC 090945
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0920 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave extends from 07N to 18N with axis near 111W, 
moving westward at 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
06N to 16N between 105W and 115W. 

A tropical wave extends from 09N to 16N with axis near 120W, 
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection is active from 05N to 15N between 115W and 125W.

A tropical wave extends from 08N to 18N with axis near 140W, 
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection is active from 03N to 16N between 134W and 144W. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 07N77W to 09N85W to 07N90W. 
The ITCZ begins near 07N93W to 06N105W to 08N110W. Aside from 
the convection associated with the tropical waves, numerous
moderate to strong convection is offshore Panama and Colombia,
and from 02N to 16N between 126W and 135W. Scattered moderate 
convection is from 08N to 16N between 96W and 105W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong N gap winds prevail in the Gulf of Tehuantepec, 
reaching about 13N. Rough seas to 9 ft are associated with these
strong gap winds. Moderate NW winds are noted off Baja 
California N of Cabo San Lazaro while moderate to fresh SE winds
blow along the northern and central Gulf of California. 
Elsewhere, winds are light to gentle and seas slight to moderate 
in SW swell. Outside of the Gulf of Tehuantepec, seas are 4-5 ft
except for 1-3 ft in the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds and rough seas are 
expected across the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Wed morning. The 
pressure gradient between high pressure NW of the area and lower 
pressure over the Colorado River Valley will support moderate to 
fresh southerly winds across the southern and northern Gulf of 
California through Thu night. Elsewhere, a moderate pressure 
gradient will support mostly gentle to moderate winds across the 
remainder offshore waters of Mexico along with moderate seas.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to near gale-force NE to E gap winds are across the Gulf 
of Papagayo. The plume of these winds extend as far west as 91W,
and associated seas are 8-12 ft. Moderate to fresh N gap winds 
are also active across the Gulf of Panama extending to 06N with
3-5 ft seas. Between Ecuador and the Galapagos, winds are gentle
to moderate with 3-6 ft seas. Elsewhere, mostly gentle breezes 
and 4-5 ft seas are noted in SW swell.

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E gap winds will prevail
in the Papagayo region through Thu night, reaching near gale- 
force speed tonight and Mon night. The gap wind event will 
produce a fetch of moderate to locally fresh easterlies across 
the outer offshore waters of Guatemala and El Salvador. Moderate 
to fresh NNE winds will pulse in the Gulf of Panama through Tue. 
Moderate or weaker southerly winds and moderate seas will 
continue across the offshores between Ecuador and the Galapagos 
through the forecast period. Otherwise, light to gentle winds and
moderate seas in SW swell are forecast elsewhere through Thu 
night. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1027 mb high near 36N142W extends a ridge across the 
subtropical E Pacific waters to nearly 115W. The gradient of 
pressure between this area of high pressure and a tropical wave 
with axis near 139W is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E 
winds from 07N to 24N W of 120W. Seas over these waters are 7-8 
ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, persistent fresh trade winds west of 120W will
maintain moderate to rough seas through the forecast period. The 
tropical wave located several hundred miles SW of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a large area 
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, 
and a tropical depression could form by midweek while the system 
moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward across the 
western portion of the East Pacific. Also, an area of low 
pressure could form well offshore of the southwestern coast of 
Mexico by the middle of next week. Only limited development of 
this system is anticipated thereafter as it moves generally west-
northwestward.

$$
Ramos