000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140906
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Feb 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Very Rough NW Swell: Rough seas in NW swell over the
waters N of 08N and W of 119W will get reinforced behind a cold 
front starting tonight with seas building to very rough SE of 
30N140W. By Sun evening, very rough seas will cover the waters N 
of 24N and W of 130W, up to 17 ft near 30N139W. By Mon evening,
very rough seas will be W of a line from 30N120W to 18N140W,
diminishing slightly and briefly Tue evening before very rough
seas get reinforce from the N. Please refer to the latest NWS 
High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough extends from 07N85W to 01N92W. The ITCZ extends from
01N92W to 02S110W to 05N135W to beyond 03N140W. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 07N 
between 85W and 93W, and from 03N to 08N between 134W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh N gap winds are in the Gulf of Tehuantepec per
recent ASCAT scatterometer data. Winds are moderate or weaker 
elsewhere under weak ridging, except locally moderate to fresh 
offshore Baja California per the same ASCAT data. Seas are 
locally rough in NW swell offshore Baja California Norte, and 
moderate elsewhere, except slight in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh N winds will pulse in the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec early this morning before diminishing. Fresh
to strong northerly winds are forecast there Sun night through 
Tue morning before diminishing. Moderate to fresh winds will 
pulse on either side of Baja California Sur to near Cabo 
Corrientes through the weekend, then again starting Tue. A cold 
front will approach Baja California Norte early next week with 
fresh to strong winds ahead of it in the northern Gulf of 
California and west of the northern peninsula through early Tue, 
then will diminish as the front moves through while weakening. A 
reinforcing surge may bring fresh to strong winds N of 30N Wed. 
Rough NW swell off Baja California Norte will linger through 
early Sun. Larger NW swell will spread across the waters W of 
110W through early next week toward mid-week, with very rough 
seas N of Punta Eugenia.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong northeast to east winds along with seas to around
8 ft are in the Gulf of Papagayo region. Moderate to fresh north
to northeast winds are in the the Gulf of Panama and near the 
Azuero Peninsula. Moderate or weaker winds, and mainly 3 to 5 ft
seas in a mix of swells are elsewhere.

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE-E gap winds and rough seas 
will persist across the Gulf of Papagayo region through early 
Sun, then pulsing to moderate to fresh into early next week. 
Fresh to strong winds may return there by early Tue. Moderate to
fresh N-NE winds will pulse in the Gulf of Panama at times. 
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas 
will change little through the next several days.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
Significant Very Rough NW Swell forecast for the NW waters.

A dissipating trough extends from 24N122W to 20N125W while high 
pressure is elsewhere across the waters N of the ITCZ. Moderate
to locally fresh trades are noted from roughly 05N to 24N 
between 110W and 140W, with mainly moderate or weaker winds 
elsewhere. Rough seas in old NW swell covers the waters mainly N 
of 10N and W of 120W, with moderate seas elsewhere.

For the forecast, other than the Significant Very Rough NW Swell
forecast for the NW waters, an associated cold front will
approach 30N140W later this morning, reaching from 30N129W to 
22N140W by early Sun with fresh to strong winds behind it, then 
from 30N120W to 18N140W early Mon, and from near Punta Eugenia to
15N130W by early Tue with winds N of 20N behind it diminishing 
as the front weakens. High pressure will build in the wake of the
front and the belt of moderate to fresh trades N of the ITCZ 
will increase to at least fresh to strong early next week. Rough
to very rough seas will accompany the increasing trades.

$$
Lewitsky