000
AXPZ20 KNHC 100811
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Thu Jul 10 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 82W north of 05N, moving 
west at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 102W north of 05N, moving 
westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 115W north of 05N, moving 
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 125W from 06N to 21N, moving
westward at 5 to 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough section below.
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N85W to 08N94W to 12N113W to 
12N116W. The ITCZ continues from 12N1176 to 11N123W, and from 
09N126W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted E of 80W, from 04N to 10N between 81W and 89W, from 03N
to 13N between 111W and 126W, and from 04N to 10N between 130W 
and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong winds are noted over the Gulf of Tehuantepec, 
with gentle to locally moderate winds elsewhere south of 
southern Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds are west of Baja 
California Norte. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere across the
open waters. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the open waters 
off Mexico. Over the Gulf of California, gentle to moderate
winds, and seas of 1-3 ft, prevail.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong winds in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec will diminish today. Winds are forecast to strengthen
in the northern Gulf of California today through Fri night. 
Moderate to fresh winds will be offshore Baja California Norte 
through tonight before diminishing. Mainly gentle to moderate 
winds will prevail elsewhere. Moderate seas will prevail across 
the open waters over the next several days.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gentle to moderate winds are over and downstream of the Gulf of 
Papagayo. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere N of 05N. S of 
05N, gentle to moderate winds prevail. Seas are in the 4-6 ft 
range. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will pulse across the 
Gulf of Papagayo. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail between 
Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. Elsewhere, light to gentle 
winds will prevail. Moderate seas in S to SW swell will prevail 
over the regional waters during the period, except building to 
rough S of the Galapagos Islands by the end of the week. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the waters north of 20N. Gentle to 
moderate winds prevail north of the ITCZ/monsoon trough. Moderate
to fresh winds are south of the ITCZ/monsoon trough. Southerly 
swell of 7 to 8 ft is impacting the waters south of 05N and west
of 110W. Elsewhere seas are in the 4 to 7 ft range.

For the forecast, cross equatorial, rough southerly swell will 
cover the waters S of 06N and W of 100W through the end of the 
week, with a reinforcing set later in the weekend. Moderate to 
fresh winds S of the ITCZ will persist into the weekend. 

$$
AL