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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271431
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Fri Mar 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Fresh to near gale force N to NE gap winds in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec will pulse through Mon night, except for gale-force 
northerly winds forecast to develop Sat through Sun morning, then
again possibly Sun night. Seas will become rough to very rough 
during the period of gale- force winds, peaking around 15 ft by 
early Sun. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by 
the National Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 08N78W to 04N100W. The ITCZ 
extends from 04N100W to 03N127W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 03N to 08N between 132W and
140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to near-gale force winds prevail in the Gulf of Tehuantepec,
along with 4-5 ft seas. Moderate NW-N winds and seas of 5-8 ft 
are over the waters off Baja California Norte. Elsewhere, light 
to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are noted. 

For the forecast aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, light to 
gentle winds will prevail over much of the offshore waters 
through Tue night, pulsing to moderate to fresh near Baja 
California Norte through Sat, and near Cabo San Lucas at times. 
Northwest swell will bring rough seas N of Punta Eugenia and W of
119W through today before subsiding. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE-E winds prevail over the Papagayo region, 
extending westward to near 89W. In the Gulf of Panama, moderate 
N winds are noted. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight 
to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will pulse through Tue
night, with moderate to locally rough seas. Moderate to fresh 
winds will pulse in the Gulf of Panama with moderate seas through
Tue night. Rough seas will build well offshore western Guatemala
by early Sun through Sun night due to a developing Gulf of 
Tehuantepec gale-force gap wind event. Gentle breezes and slight 
to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through the forecast 
period. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1006 mb low pressure area is WNW of the area. Outer associated
fresh to locally strong E-SE winds are near the NW waters at 
30N140W. Related seas of 7-10 ft are W of a line from near 
30N120W to 27N140W. Moderate convection is N of 28N and west of
135W. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found over 
the remainder of the discussion waters. 

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong mainly SE winds will
prevail near 30N140W into this evening until the low WNW of the 
area lifts N while weakening. Associated rough swells over the 
far NW and N-central waters will linger through early Sat before 
subsiding. Rough seas from a developing gale-force gap wind event
in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will spread SW and impact the waters 
roughly N of 07N and E of 105W Sun through Mon. Fresh to strong 
winds will pulse across these waters as well extending downwind 
from the Tehuantepec event. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds 
will prevail over the open waters. Moderate seas will prevail 
otherwise into early Sun across the open waters. Rough seas in 
southerly swell may impact the waters S of the Equator mid-week.

$$
AL