763 
AXPZ20 KNHC 282143
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sat Mar 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: The local pressure gradient
induced by broad high pressure across the Gulf of America will 
maintain fresh to near gale force N to NE gap winds across the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec through Mon, with gale-force winds occurring 
this afternoon through Sun morning, and then returning briefly 
Sun night. Seas will become rough to very rough during this 
period of gale-force winds, peaking around 15 ft by early Sun.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website

- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 10N74.5W to 04N90W to 02.5N113W. 
The ITCZ continues from 06.5N119W to beyond 05.5N140W. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 06N 
between 87W and 95W, south of 03S between 104W and 120W, and  
from 06N to 08.5N between 126W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a Gulf of 
Tehuantepec gale-force gap wind event. 

Minimal gale-force NW to N winds were depicted by late morning
satellite scatterometer data across the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
north of 15N, with fresh to strong N to NE winds continuing 
farther offshore to near 11N. Seas have built to 8-12 ft in 
recent hours. Weak high pressure well NW of the area extends a 
ridge southward into the regional waters W of 115W. The resultant
pressure gradient is producing moderate to locally fresh 
northerly winds across the waters of Baja Norte southward to 
offshore of Punta Eugenia. Seas are 5 to 7 ft in fading NW swell
across this area. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds, and slight 
to moderate seas are noted between Puerto Angel and Baja Sur.

For the forecast, northerly gales will continue across the Gulf 
of Tehuantepec tonight through mid morning Sun, then briefly
increase again to minimal gales Sun night. Broad low pressure is
expected to persist across Baja California and the adjacent
offshore waters, while weak high pressure continues well to the
NW. Winds across the Baja Norte waters to Punta Eugenia will
gradually diminish through Mon. Moderate SE to S winds will 
pulse to locally fresh inside the Gulf of California tonight 
through Mon. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds will prevail 
through Wed night, pulsing to moderate to fresh near Cabo San 
Lucas and near Cabo Corrientes at times. Slight to moderate seas 
will prevail over the waters away from the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE-E winds prevail over the Papagayo region, and
extend southwestward to near 91W, where seas are 5 to near 8 ft.
In the Gulf of Panama, moderate N to NE winds continue and extend
south and southwestward to 04N, where seas are 4 to 5 ft.  
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds prevail. Slight to moderate seas
of 5 ft and less in southerly swell dominate the area waters.

For the forecast, across the Papagayo region, fresh NE winds 
will pulse to strong each evening and night through early Wed, 
reaching downwind to 92W, with moderate to locally rough seas. 
Moderate to fresh winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Panama 
with moderate seas through Tue night, before diminishing. Rough 
seas in NW swell will build well offshore western Guatemala Sun 
through Sun night due to the Gulf of Tehuantepec gale-force gap 
wind event. Gentle breezes and slight to moderate seas will 
prevail elsewhere through Wed. Looking ahead, large SW swell will
move into the waters from offshore Ecuador to the Galapagos 
Islands on Wed, and reach the remaining Central American waters 
beginning Thu morning.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A complex gale-force low pressure system is located NW of the 
area, with a leading cold front now reaching near 30N140W. 
Moderate SE to S winds and moderate seas to 7 ft associated with
the outer periphery of this system prevail across these NW 
waters close to 30N140W. Weak high pressure is located NE of this
complex low and extends a ridge south and southeastward into the
area waters between 115W and 140W. Moderate seas of 6 to 7 ft in
northerly swell are found N of 20N between 114W and 137W. Gentle
to moderate winds and moderate seas are found over the remainder
of the discussion waters, except for locally fresh NE winds
occurring from 07N to 09N near 10N between 120W and 140W.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will prevail across much of
the area through Tue, between broad low pressure across Baja 
California and a frontal system remaining W of 135W. Expect
mainly moderate NE winds across the trade wind zone during this
time. N to NE swell generated by a developing gale-force gap 
wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will spread SW and impact 
the waters roughly N of 05N and E of 107W Sun through Mon. Fresh
to strong winds will pulse across these waters as well extending
downwind from Tehuantepec and into the trade wind zone east of 
110W. Moderate seas will continue otherwise into early Sun 
across the open waters. Large southerly swell will move into the
waters S of the Equator mid-week.

$$
Stripling