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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031001
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Apr 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends southwestward from 08N83W to 04N93W. An
ITCZ extends westward from 04N93W to 02N115W to 03N137W. A second
ITCZ reaches west-southwestward from 01S86W to 04S105W to beyond
03S120W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is 
noted from 04N to 09N between 83W and 90W, and within 55 nm of 
05S89W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

The pressure gradient between high pressure west of the area and
a trough over the Gulf of California is supporting moderate to
fresh NW to winds west of Baja California, with moderate winds 
extending southward to near the Revillagigedo Islands and off 
Cabo Corrientes. Gentle to moderate S to WSW winds exist in the 
Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds are seen across the 
offshore waters of southern Mexico. Moderate seas prevail across 
the open waters off Mexico, with slight seas over the Gulf of 
California.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NW winds offshore Baja
California will become gentle to moderate this weekend, then 
increase to between moderate and fresh by Mon. NW swell will also
bring locally rough seas off Baja California Norte through Sat 
evening. Fresh NW to N winds will pulse in the northern Gulf of 
California today through Sat morning. In the long term, strong to
near gale-force N gap winds along with rough seas are expected 
in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sun night through midweek next week. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh NE to E gap winds prevail over and downstream 
the Papagayo region. Winds are light to gentle elsewhere. Slight 
seas are offshore Colombia, with moderate seas prevailing for 
the rest of the offshore waters.

For the forecast, fresh with locally strong gap winds are 
expected during the nighttime and early morning hours in the 
Papagayo region through midweek next week. Residual southerly 
swell will maintain moderate seas off Ecuador and near the 
Galapagos Islands through this weekend. Afterward, seas should 
gradually subside next week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge extends southeastward from a 1028 mb high west 
of California across 30N127W to near the Revillagigedo Islands. 
A trough of Low pressure cuts across the northwestern corner of 
the discussion area from 30N135W to 25N140W. Fresh to locally 
strong winds are found near the trough of low pressure. The 
pressure gradient between the surface ridge and lower pressure in
the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting gentle to moderate winds 
elsewhere north of the ITCZ. Light to gentle winds prevail south 
of the ITCZ. Moderate to rough seas in cross equatorial swell 
prevail south of 10N and west of 94W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the aforementioned
ridge and low pressure will support fresh with locally strong E 
to SE winds N of 20N and W of 127W today, then become gentle to
moderate by tonight. Lingering NW swell should maintain rough
seas north of 28N through Sat, then become moderate. Moderate 
ENE to E winds with moderate seas in persistent S swell should 
continue from the ITCZ to 20N through Tue. A new set of NW swell 
associated with a cold front is going to bring back rough seas
near 29N138W for Tue.

$$

Chan