000
AXPZ20 KNHC 302103
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Mon Mar 30 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 09.5N76W to 04.5N92W to 04N104W. 
The ITCZ extends from 04N105W to beyond 04N140W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted from 01N to 04.5W east of 81.5W, 
from 03.5N to 07.5N between 85W and 115W, and from 03.5N to 07.5N
between 130W and 137W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Gale-force gap winds have ended across the Gulf of Tehuantepec
this morning. However, fresh to strong N to NE winds continue and 
extend from the coast to well offshore of Tehuantepec south then
southwestward to near 11.5N99W. Seas within this plume of gap
winds have subsided to 7 to 9 ft this afternoon.

Beyond the Tehuantepec region, weak high pressure remains W of 
the area along 131W, while weak and broad low pressure persists 
from offshore of Baja Norte southward across the waters well 
offshore of Baja Sur along 119W-120W. This weak pressure pattern
is producing cyclonic winds across the offshore waters of Baja 
California, with gentle to moderate S to SW winds extending from
the far offshore waters of Baja Sur northward into the near and
offshore waters of Baja Norte. Gentle W to NW winds then prevail
across the remaining waters of Baja Sur. Light to gentle southerly
winds have developed across the Gulf of California, with winds
moderate across north portions. Light to gentle winds dominate 
the remainder of the waters between Puerto Angel and the 
Revillagigedo Islands. Seas of 4 to 5 ft in NW swell prevail
across the area waters W of Puerto Angel.

For the forecast, the current Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind 
event will quickly diminish this evening, and then produce a
small pulse of fresh winds late tonight through Tue morning.
Elsewhere, broad low pressure offshore of Baja California will 
gradually dissipate through late Tue. Gentle to moderate winds 
will prevail across the majority of the area waters through Wed.
SW to W gap winds are expected to develop across the Gulf of 
California Tue evening through Wed morning and then again Thu 
night. High pressure will gradually build across the area from 
the NW Wed through Fri leading to more typical moderate to fresh
northerly winds. Slight to moderate seas will prevail through 
Thu, before moderate cross-equatorial S swell moves into the 
Mexican waters Thu night and Fri, and begins to merge with NW
swell offshore of Baja late Fri and Sat.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds prevail over the Papagayo 
region, and extend southwestward to near 93W, where seas are 7-9
ft. Across the Gulf of Panama, moderate N to NE winds prevail, 
and extend downwind to 03.5N, where seas 3 to 6 ft in S swell 
prevail. Winds are light to gentle elsewhere. Moderate seas 
prevail across the remaining area waters, except are 6 to 8 ft in
S swell across the waters between Ecuador and the south side of
the Galapagos Islands.

For the forecast, fresh NE to E winds will pulse to strong across
and downwind of the Papagayo region to near 90W through early 
Wed, then become moderate to fresh thereafter. In the Gulf of 
Panama, moderate N to NE winds will continue to pulse to fresh 
at night through Tue morning. Rough seas in NW swell will 
subside quickly through early tonight as the current Gulf of 
Tehuantepec gap wind events ends. Slight to moderate seas will 
prevail otherwise through Tue night. Large S to SW swell will 
spread into the waters from offshore Ecuador to the Galapagos 
Islands Wed morning and reach the remaining area waters and 
Central American coasts on Thu.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Complex low pressure NW of the local area continues to weaken 
this afternoon and it moves northeastward. A weak cold front 
extends across the far NW waters along 135W, with moderate S-SW 
winds just ahead of the front, and moderate W winds behind the 
front. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds prevail across the 
open waters N of 20N, while moderate to fresh easterly winds are 
noted from 06N to 15N and W of 108W. Fresh NE to E winds extend 
from the Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind event beyond 100W, into the
waters along 108W. Moderate seas in mixed swell prevail across 
the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will dominate the open
waters through the next several days, as weak high pressure 
across much of the area slowly builds into the Baja California
waters. A series of weak frontal boundaries will move into the 
NW waters and weaken W of 130W throughout the week. N to NE swell
generated by a gale- force gap wind event in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec have spread SW and will continue to dominate the 
waters roughly N of 04N and E of 110W through early tonight
before subsiding. Moderate seas will continue otherwise through 
the early part of the week. Large southerly swell will move into 
the waters S of the Equator Tue night into Wed, and reach 10N on
Thu.

$$
Stripling