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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 040138
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 93W, north of 02N, moving 
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 115W, moving westward at 
around 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 128/129W, from 02N to 19N, 
moving westward at 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 08N109W to 13N125W to 
08N133W. The ITCZ continues from 08N133W to beyond 07N140W. 
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 
03N to 10N between 79W and 130W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh winds prevail over the Gulf of California, with
slight seas. Moderate or weaker winds, and moderate seas, prevail
over the open waters off Mexico. 

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure NW
of the area and low pressure over the Colorado River Valley will
support moderate to fresh winds, occasionally locally strong, 
over the northern Gulf of California through Tue night. 
Elsewhere, a moderate pressure gradient will support mostly 
gentle to moderate winds across the offshore waters of Mexico. 
Northerly swell NW of Guadalupe Island will subside below 8 ft 
tonight. Fresh to strong gap winds and building seas are expected
across the Gulf of Tehuantepec toward the end of the week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas prevail over 
and downstream the Gulf of Papagayo. Gentle to moderate winds are
found between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. Light to gentle
winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will pulse across the 
Papagayo region, with strong winds pulsing at night starting Tue
night. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in SW swell 
are expected across the remainder of the waters through the 
period.  

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Northerly swell has propagated into the northern waters, bringing
rough seas to the waters N of 28N between 120W and 132W. 
Elsewhere over the discussion waters, gentle to moderate winds 
and moderate seas prevail. 

For the forecast, the northerly swell will bring rough seas over
the waters off Baja California Norte north of 27N and east of 
135W through Tue. Southerly swell will build northward to 03N and
west of 105W starting Tue night. Meanwhile, seas may build to 8 
ft in the tradewind zone in the western waters late this week.

$$
AL