000
AXPZ20 KNHC 012101
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
 
...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Genevieve is centered near 23.3N 135.0W at
01/2100 UTC, moving west-northwest at 12 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40
kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak seas are near 20 ft or 6 m. 
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection within 60 nm in
the NE semicircle. Genevieve will maintain a gradual weakening 
trend while moving on a west- northwestward track over the 
weekend. The system is forecast to become post- tropical by early
next week. 

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest
Genevieve NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 90W, N of 02N into the 
Guatemala, moving westward at around 5 to 10 kt. Nearby 
convection is discussed in the ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 119W/120W, from 02N to 18N, 
moving westward around 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in 
the ITCZ/Monsoon trough section below. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N85W to 08N90W. The ITCZ
continues from 08N90W to 10N115W, and from 10N120W to 08N130W to
12N140W. Scattered moderate convection is active from 04N to 12N
between 80W and 95W, and from 09N to 13N between 95W and 115W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Gentle to moderate winds prevail across the region. Moderate 
seas dominate the open waters off Mexico, with slight seas in the
Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure west of
the area and lowering pressure over the Colorado River Valley
will support fresh SW winds and building seas over the northern 
Gulf of California through the early part of next week. 
Elsewhere, a moderate pressure gradient will support mostly 
gentle to moderate NW winds across the offshore waters of Mexico.
Long- period NW swell will move into the waters off Baja 
California Norte Sun night through then start to subside Tue. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas prevail over 
and downstream the Gulf of Papagayo, as observed in a recent
scatterometer satellite pass. Gentle to moderate winds and 
moderate seas are found between the Galapagos Islands and 
Ecuador. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas are noted 
elsewhere. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E gap winds will pulse 
across the Papagayo region into Sun, with occasionally rough 
seas. Moderate to fresh winds will then pulse thereafter. 
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in SW swell are 
expected across the remainder of the waters through the period. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Storm Genevieve.

For waters not impacted by Genevieve, high pressure is centered 
just northwest of the area. The pressure gradient between the 
area of high pressure and Genevieve is supporting moderate to 
fresh NE winds to the northwest of Genevieve. Seas in this region
are in the 7 to 9 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds, and 
moderate seas, prevail over the remainder of the discussion 
waters. 

For the forecast, the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve will move
to 23.9N 137.0W Sun morning, 24.8N 139.5W Sun afternoon, then become
a post-tropical remnant low west of the area through Mon. Away 
from Genevieve, little change in marine conditions is forecast 
through the weekend. Rough northerly swell off California is 
likely to push southward into the waters off Baja California 
Norte north of 27N and east of 130W into early next week. New 
large southerly swell may build south of the Equator and west of 
100W beginning Tue night.

$$
Christensen