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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 130318
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0307 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 13N94W to 09N120W to a 1007 mb 
low pressure near 09N128W to another 1007 mb low pressure near 
09N139W to 09N140W. Scattered to numerous moderate and isolated 
strong convection is noted from 03N to 12N between 110W and 140W.
Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to 14N 
between 92W and 100W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak pressure gradient prevails across the area. With the weak
pressure gradient, light to gentle winds prevail over the
discussion waters, except gentle to locally moderate winds off 
Cabo San Lucas. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range over the open 
waters off Mexico, and 3 ft or less in the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, light to gentle winds will prevail across the 
waters of Baja California through Sat night, increasing slightly 
thereafter. Gentle to occasionally moderate SW to S winds are 
expected inside the Gulf of California and near the tip of Baja 
California Sur. Light to gentle winds will dominate the waters 
between Cabo Corrientes and Tehunatepec.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gentle to moderate winds prevail in the Gulf of Papagayo as well
as between the Galapagos Islands and Colombia. Light to gentle 
winds are found elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range between 
the Galapagos Islands and Colombia, and 4-6 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas 
will prevail across the offshore waters into the weekend. Winds 
may pulse to moderate to locally fresh in diurnal offshore flow 
in the immediate Gulf of Papagayo and near the Gulf of Guayaquil 
during the upcoming weekend into early next week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Broad troughing prevails across the waters N of 20N. The 
pressure gradient between this trough, and high pressure NW of
the area is supporting moderate to locally fresh winds over the
NW waters. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere N of the
monsoon trough and west of 130W. Light to gentle winds prevail 
elsewhere N of the monsoon trough. Moderate to fresh winds are S 
of the monsoon trough and W of 125W, with gentle to moderate 
winds elsewhere. Northerly swell is bringing rough seas over the 
waters N of 27.5N between 129W and 138W. Mainly moderate seas 
are found elsewhere, except locally rough south of the equator. 

For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds are expected across 
the much of the open waters, except at least moderate to fresh 
winds near transient embedded low pressure areas along western 
portion of the monsoon trough through early next week. Northerly 
swells mixed with the longer period southerly swells with seas of
7-9 ft will linger across the N-central waters through tonight 
before decaying. Otherwise, moderate seas will dominate the open 
waters, locally rough in the S-central waters through Sat, as 
well as near any of the embedded lows within the monsoon trough.
 
$$
KRV