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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 172009
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Tue Mar 17 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: the pressure gradient between 
high pressure building across eastern Mexico and the equatorial 
trough is supporting gale force gap winds in the Tehuantepec 
region, with seas peaking near 14 ft. Gale force winds will
continue through tonight before diminishing. Near- gale force 
gap winds and rough seas will then pulse across the Tehuantepec 
region into Fri.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more
information. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 03N100W. The ITCZ 
extends from 01N107W to beyond 01N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted S of 05N between 89W and 99W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please see Special Features above for more on a gale warning in 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec. 

Aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, a weak pressure gradient is 
generating light to gentle winds. Moderate seas prevail over the
open waters, with slight seas in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec gale warning,
a weak pressure pattern over the region will maintain gentle to 
moderate breezes and and moderate seas over the open waters off 
Mexico, with slight to moderate seas in the Gulf of California. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle winds and moderate seas in the 4-6 ft range 
prevail across the discussion waters. 

For the forecast, large NE swell generated by the gale force gap
winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will impact the offshore waters
of Guatemala through Wed. Gentle breezes and moderate seas will 
prevail elsewhere through late week, except for the Papagayo 
region, where fresh winds will pulse nightly starting Thu.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A weak pressure gradient across the area is supporting mostly 
gentle to moderate winds across the region. Moderate wave 
heights in the 4-6 ft range prevail.

For the forecast, large N to NE swell generated from the Gulf 
of Tehuantepec gale force gap winds will briefly bring rough 
seas mainly from 08N to 12N and east of 100W tonight and 
Wednesday. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas 
will prevail across the region into the weekend.

$$
Konarik