980 
AXPZ20 KNHC 281527
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sat Mar 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: A broad high pressure ridge
across the Gulf of America will maintain fresh to near gale 
force N to NE gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec through
Mon, with gale-force winds occurring this morning through Sun
morning, and then returning briefly Sun night. Seas will become 
rough to very rough during the period of gale-force winds, 
peaking around 15 ft by early Sun. Please read the latest HIGH 
SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website 
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 10N75.5W to 09N83W to 03N92W to
02.5N110W. The ITCZ continues from 02.5N110W to 00N140W. 
Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 02.5N to
06N between 84.5W and 94W. Scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection is noted from 06.5N to 09.5N between 116W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a Gulf of 
Tehuantepec gale-force gap wind event. 

Gale-force N winds prevail across the Gulf of Tehuantepec north
of 14.5N this morning, with fresh to strong winds continuing
farther offshore to near 12.5N. Seas have built to 6-11 ft in
recent hours. Weak high pressure well NW of the area extends a 
ridge southward into the regional waters W of 115W. The
resultant pressure gradient is producing moderate to locally 
fresh northerly winds across the waters of Baja Norte southward 
to offshore of Punta Eugenia. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in NW swell 
across this area. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds, and slight to
moderate seas are noted.

For the forecast aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, moderate  
SE-S winds will pulse to locally fresh inside the Gulf of 
California Sun into Sun night. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
will prevail through Wed night, pulsing to moderate to fresh 
near Baja California Norte, near Cabo San Lucas, and near Cabo 
Corrientes at times. Slight to moderate seas will prevail over 
the waters away from the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE-E winds prevail over the Papagayo region, and
extends southwestward to near 90W, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. In 
the Gulf of Panama, moderate to locally fresh N-NE winds are 
noted. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds prevail. Slight to 
moderate seas in southerly swell dominate the area waters.

For the forecast, in the Gulf of Papagayo, fresh to strong NE 
winds will pulse through early Wed reaching downwind to 92W, 
with moderate to locally rough seas. Moderate to fresh winds will
pulse in the Gulf of Panama with moderate seas through Tue 
night. Rough seas in NW swell will build well offshore western 
Guatemala by early Sun through Sun night due to a Gulf of 
Tehuantepec gale- force gap wind event. Gentle breezes and slight
to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through the forecast 
period. Looking ahead, large SW swell will build from Ecuador 
offshore to the Galapagos Islands water by mid-week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A complex gale-force low pressure system is located NW of the 
area. Moderate to locally fresh SE-S winds and rough seas
associated with the outer periphery of this system are near the 
NW waters close to 30N140W. Weak high pressure is located NE of
this complex low and extends a ridge southward into the area
waters between 115W and 140W. Rough seas to 8 ft in northerly 
swell are found N of 26N between 119W and 128W. Gentle to 
moderate winds and moderate seas are found over the remainder of 
the discussion waters, except for locally fresh NE winds near 
10N between 125W and 134W.

For the forecast, rough seas to 8 ft over the far NW and 
N-central waters due to the complex low pressure system NW of the
area will subside later today. Also, rough seas from a 
developing gale-force gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
will spread SW and impact the waters roughly N of 07N and E of 
106W Sun through Mon. Fresh to strong winds will pulse across 
these waters as well extending downwind from Tehuantepec and into
the trade wind zone west of 100W. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate 
winds will prevail over the open waters as weak high pressure
prevails N of the region. Moderate seas will continue otherwise 
into early Sun across the open waters. Rough seas in large southerly
swell will move into the waters S of the Equator mid-week.

$$
Stripling