000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261940
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sun Apr 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1900 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A trough axis extends from the Gulf of Papagayo at 11N86W to
08N103W to 09N108W. The ITCZ extends from 09N108W to 10N128W to
beyond 06N140W. A second ITCZ is south/southwest of the
discussion waters. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is active from 01N to 05N between 81W and 96W, from
03N to 16N between 105W and 120W, and from 08N to 13N between
124W and 138W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
The tail end of a dissipating cold front is analyzed across the
central Gulf of California. Moderate to fresh winds are found in
the central and northern Gulf of California, along with seas of
3-5 ft. Weak ridging following the front is supporting moderate
to fresh northwest winds over the offshore waters of Baja
California, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Combined
seas are 5-7 ft off Baja California, 3-5 ft off southwest and
southern Mexico, and 1-3 ft in the southern Gulf of California.
For the forecast, weak ridging will build over the area through
early week. The pattern will support moderate to fresh northwest
winds over the Baja California waters, except for moderate to
fresh to occasionally strong winds funneling along the coast of
Baja California Sur between between Cabo San Lazaro and Punta
Eugenia tonight through Mon morning. Elsewhere, mostly light to
gentle west to northwest winds are expected through the week.
Moderate to fresh winds may develop in the central and southern
Gulf of California by the middle of the week as the pressure
gradient tightens slightly, then fresh to strong in the central
Gulf of California Thu night as a cold front moves through the
area. Seas may build to locally rough off Baja California Norte
by the end of the week in NW swell.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Light to gentle variable winds prevail north of the Equator.
Gentle to moderate SE winds prevail south of the Equator. Seas
are 3-4 ft N of 08N, and 5-7 ft in S to SW swell S of 08N.
For the forecast, a light gradient will maintain rather tranquil
conditions over the Central American and Colombian waters
through the week while moderate to fresh southeast winds and
moderate long-period south to southwest swell remain offshore
Ecuador. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh in the Gulf of
Papagayo and the Gulf of Panama starting Tue morning through Thu
morning.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
The ridge north of the ITCZ is disrupted by a trough extending
from 28N125W to 20N130W. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds are
found north of the ITCZ to 17N west of 118W. Gentle to moderate
winds are west of the trough. Mainly light to gentle winds are
elsewhere across the open waters. Seas are 6-8 ft in mixed SE and
NW swell south of the Equator, and 4-7 ft across the remainder of
the waters.
For the forecast, the rather weak high pressure across the
region along with persistent troughing over the northwest waters
will generally maintain moderate to occasionally fresh trade
winds from the ITCZ to 20N and west of 120W. Combined seas will
be in the range of 5-7 ft over the western part of the area
through the remainder of the weekend then 4-6 ft across the
entire area early next week, except near 8 ft along 03.4S into
the early part of the week. Seas may build slightly over the
waters north of 10N and west of 120W by the middle of the week
in new swells.
$$
Lewitsky