000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141555
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Tue Apr 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1530 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 10N75W to 05N81W to 02N103W. The 
ITCZ extends from 03N106W to 04N125W TO beyond 02N140W. Southern
hemispheric ITCZ extends from 02S95W to 00S110W to beyond 
02S120W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted 
from 00N to 07N between 84W and 105W. Numerous moderate to 
strong convection is noted from 01N to 11N between 120W and 140W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted south of 
01S between 98.5W and 120W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A cold front continues to move slowly southeastward across the
Baja Norte waters and the northern Gulf of California, and is 
analyzed from southeastern Arizona across the northern Gulf of 
California and through Baja California Norte, across Punta 
Eugenia, and to beyond 25N120W. Weak high pressure is bridging 
across the weakening front from the NW, and yielding gentle to 
moderate NW to N winds across the nearshore waters of Baja and SW
Mexico, on both sides of the front, and light to gentle N to NE 
winds farther offshore and across the Revillagigedo Islands. 
Moderate seas to 5 ft in mixed NW and SW swell prevail across the
waters south of the front, while NW swell is filling in behind 
the front, producing seas of 6 to 7 ft. Gentle N winds prevail 
across southern portions of the Gulf of California with seas of 2
to 3 ft, except for moderate to fresh N-NW winds across the 
entrance of the Gulf, where seas are likely 4 to 5 ft. Fresh SW 
gap winds and moderate seas continue across north portions of the
Gulf, except for fresh to strong NW winds beginning to spill out
of the Colorado River basin and into the Gulf waters. Fresh N 
gap winds are noted in the Tehuantepec region N of 14.5N, where 
seas are around 6 ft. 

For the forecast, cold front will gradually move SE and dissipate 
across central Baja and the central Gulf of California this
afternoon. Expect freshening NW to N winds across the Baja 
waters through tonight. High pressure behind the front will 
build across the region and dominate conditions through the rest 
of the week. New NW swell will move into the Baja waters late Thu
through Sat morning. Fresh to strong SW to W gap winds are 
expected in the northern Gulf of California today ahead of the 
front, with winds then becoming moderate to fresh from the N 
through the entire Gulf through Wed evening. Elsewhere between 
Baja Sur and Puerto Angel, winds will be moderate or weaker with 
moderate seas through Fri. Pulsing fresh to strong northerly gap 
winds will prevail across the Tehuantepec region into this
afternoon. Looking ahead, high pressure will weaken across the 
region Sat leading to diminishing winds and seas.


....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE to E gap winds prevail across the Papagayo
region and extend downwind to near 89W, producing seas 7 to 8 ft.
Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate seas in SW swell 
prevail in the Gulf of Panama, and extend beyond the Azuero 
Peninsula to near 04.5N. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas 
in SW swell dominate the remainder of the offshore forecast 
waters. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection continues 
across the offshore waters of Costa Rica and extends southward to
near the equator north of the Galapagos Islands. 

For the forecast, broad high pressure will continue N of the
area through Wed before gradually weakening through the end of
the week. This will maintain fresh gap winds pulsing to strong 
during the nighttime and early morning hours across the Papagayo 
region to near 90W through Wed, then yield moderate winds pulsing
to fresh at night through the end of the week. In the Gulf of 
Panama, moderate northerly winds will pulse to fresh through 
Wed morning, then will diminish slightly through the rest of the 
week. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas will prevail 
elsewhere. Cross-equatorial SW swell will raise seas to 6 to 8 ft
between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands through Wed evening. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure N of the area extends a ridge southward into the 
area W of 110W. A cold front is analyzed from the northern Gulf 
of California and through Baja California Norte, across Punta 
Eugenia, and to 25N120W, then weakens to near 22N130W. Moderate 
N to NE winds prevail north of the front, with seas 5 to 7 ft in 
NW swell, then become NE to E to the west of 130W. The pressure 
gradient between the ridge and lower pressures in the vicinity of
the ITCZ supports moderate to fresh winds south of 14N between 
100W and 125W, and moderate to fresh NE to E winds south of 25N 
and west of 125W. Moderate seas to around 6 ft in mixed NW and S
swell generally prevail across the area waters south of the 
front. Scattered convection has become more active along and N of
the ITCZ W of 120W, and is producing areas of strong and gusty 
winds. To the E, seas of 6 to 8 ft prevail within the trade wind
zone between 100W and 125W.

1030 mb high pressure north of the front will shift southeastward
to near 33N through Wed, and strengthen the pressure gradient 
modestly across the local area. The weakening cold front across 
the northern waters will move into the central Baja Peninsula and
gradually dissipate today. Moderate N to NE winds and moderate 
to briefly rough seas in NW swell are forecast in the wake of the
front through Wed. Cross- equatorial swell will raise seas along
the equator 7 to near 8 ft through Wed. Moderate to fresh winds 
are expected in the trade wind zone through Fri.

$$
Konarik