000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290211
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sun Mar 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: The local pressure gradient
induced by broad high pressure across the Gulf of America will
maintain fresh to near gale force N to NE gap winds across the
Gulf of Tehuantepec through Mon, with gale-force winds occurring
tonight through Sun morning, and then returning briefly Sun
night. Seas will become rough to very rough during this period of
gale-force winds, peaking around 15 ft by early Sun. Please read
the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from 09N79W to 03N110W. The ITCZ
continues from 05.5N115W to 07N127W to beyond 05.5N140W. Second
ITCZ along 03.4S between 92W and 108W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted S of 02S between 104W and
114W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a Gulf of
Tehuantepec gale-force gap wind event.
Other than the gale-force gap wind event in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec, moderate to fresh NW winds are offshore Baja
California Norte. Moderate winds extend from near Cabo San Lucas
to near Cabo Corrientes. Light to gentle winds dominate the
remainder of the waters. Seas are moderate offshore Baja
California, and slight to moderate elsewhere.
For the forecast, aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec gale-force
gap wind event, broad low pressure is expected to persist across
Baja California and the adjacent offshore waters through the
early part of the week. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail
across the majority of the waters through Wed. The pressure
gradient will tighten thereafter with winds offshore Baja California
increasing to moderate to fresh. Slight to moderate seas will
prevail through much of next week.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Fresh to strong NE-E winds prevail over the Papagayo region, and
extend southwestward to near 88W, where seas are 5-7 ft. In the
Gulf of Panama, moderate to fresh N-NE winds prevail. Seas are
light to gentle elsewhere. Seas are slight offshore Colombia to
the Gulf of Panama, and moderate elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE-E winds will pulse in the
Gulf of Papagayo downwind to near 92W through early Wed, then
moderate to fresh thereafter. In the Gulf of Panama, N-NE winds
will pulse through early Tue, building seas locally to rough at
times. Rough to very rough seas will spread offshore Guatemala
later tonight through Sun night due to a Gulf of Tehuantepec
gale-force gap wind event. Slight to moderate seas will prevail
otherwise through Tue night. Large SW swell will spread to the
waters from offshore Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands building
seas to 8-9 ft early Wed through Thu night.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
Gentle to moderate winds dominate the open waters under a
relatively weak pressure gradient. Fresh to strong NE winds
extending from a gale-force Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind event
extend into the waters to near 11N101W where seas are locally to
8 ft. Moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will dominate the open
waters through the next several days with weak high pressure
across much of the area and broad low pressure across Baja
California, while a series of frontal systems remains just W of
140W. N to NE swell generated by a developing gale-force gap
wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will spread SW and impact
the waters roughly N of 05N and E of 107W Sun through Mon. Fresh
to strong winds will pulse across these waters as well extending
downwind from Tehuantepec and into the trade wind zone east of
110W. Moderate seas will continue otherwise into early Sun across
the open waters. Large southerly swell will move into the waters
S of the Equator mid-week. Rough seas may move into the waters
near 30N140W Thu in SW swell.
$$
Lewitsky