000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240936
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Tue Mar 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from low pressure in northern Colombia
southwestward to 08N78W and to 06N90W, where it transitions to 
the ITCZ to 05N105W to 05N115W to 05N125W to 04N130W and to 
beyond 04N140W. No deep convection is currently observed.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Overnight satellite data passes reveal a light to gentle 
northerly wind flow over the waters west of Baja California, and 
mostly light and variable winds over the remainder of the 
offshore waters. Seas are in the range of 4 to 6 ft in northwest 
swell over the offshore waters west of Baja California and 3 to 4
ft over the remainder of the Mexican offshore waters. In the 
Gulf of California, winds are southeast to south at around 
10 kt. Seas in the Gulf are 2 to 4 ft.

For the forecast, high pressure west of Baja California will 
generally support a light to gentle northerly wind flow over the 
waters west of Baja California, and mostly light and variable winds 
over the remainder of the offshore waters through the period, with 
the exception of winds increasing to moderate speeds north of Punta 
Eugenia beginning Wed night. Northwest swell will build seas to 
around 9 ft north of Punta Eugenia Thu through Fri night before 
subsiding. Fresh to strong north gap winds in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec will pulse nightly through the rest of the week. Rough 
seas will accompany these winds. A frontal boundary will move across 
the Gulf of America this weekend. The pressure gradient in the 
Tehuantepec region will tighten leading to gale- force northeast 
winds there beginning Sat and through early next week. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean Sea is 
currently allowing for fresh northeast winds in the Gulf of 
Papagayo region as noted in the latest scatterometer satellite 
data pass over that part of the region. Seas with these winds 
are 4 to 6 ft. Farther east, a tight pressure gradient is 
sustaining fresh north to northeast winds in the Gulf of Panama 
that reach south to near 05N. A ship with call sign "V7A60" 
reported north winds of 20 kt near 5.5N80W at 05Z. Seas are 4 to 
6 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and 
moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, strong northeast to east winds will pulse 
nightly in the Gulf of Papagayo going into the upcoming weekend
along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh north winds
will pulse in the Gulf of Panama during this time. Gentle 
breezes and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The pressure gradient between broad high pressure north of 15N and 
west of 119W, and lower pressure near the ITCZ is supporting 
moderate to fresh trades roughly from 05N to 14N west of about 123W 
and moderate trades from 05N to 12N between 115W and 123W. Seas are 
5 to 7 ft within these areas of trades. Elsewhere, winds are light 
to gentle in speeds and in anticyclonic fashion around the high 
pressure. Seas are 4 to 6 ft elsewhere primarily due to a long-
period northwest to north swell.

For the forecast, little overall changes are expected with the 
current conditions through Wed. A cold front will approach the 
far NW corner of the area today, followed by fresh to strong 
northeast winds north of 29N and west of 139W on Wed. Fresh winds
will develop north of 25N Thu through Fri in the periphery of 
the frontal system as it progresses eastward just north of the 
area.

$$
Aguirre