000
AXPZ20 KNHC 032049
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Wed Jun 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Amanda is centered near 10.8N 128.9W at 03/2100
UTC, moving west-northwest at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with
gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are near 12 ft. Amanda is a small but 
well defined tropical storm, with numerous strong convection 
within 90 nm of the center, especially in the western semicircle.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest 
Tropical Storm Amanda NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory 
at www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 90W from 03N N to the coast of
El Salvador, drifting W at less than 5 kt. Numerous strong
convection is noted from 03N to 12N between 85W and 95W. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N85W to 1010 mb low
pressure at 13N107W to 10N124W. It resumes SW of Tropical Storm
Amanda near 08N131W and continues to 1011 mb low pressure near 
07N139W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted E of 85W and N of 04N and from 07N to 13N 
between 95W and 102W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
10N to 15N between 108W and 113W and from 04N to 08N between 
130W and 138W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A broad surface ridge that is anchored by a 1028 mb high center 
N of the area near 33N138W stretches southeastward to the 
Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge 
and a surface trough along the Gulf of California is maintaining 
moderate to fresh NW winds over the Baja California offshore 
waters, with seas of 5 to 7 ft. Inside the Gulf of California, 
light winds prevail, with seas of 1 to 3 ft, except seas of 3 to
5 ft in long-period S to SW swell near the entrance to the Gulf.
For the remainder of the offshore waters, light to gentle winds 
dominate along with 5 to 7 ft seas primarily in long-period S to 
SW swell, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

For the forecast, NW swell will move through the waters offshore
Baja California Norte tonight into Sat night, decaying 
afterward. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore 
of Central America and southern Mexico late this week. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this
system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late 
this weekend or early next week while it moves slowly 
northwestward or northward. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle winds are over the Central American offshore 
waters under a weak pressure pattern along with moderate seas of 
5 to 7 ft in long-period S to SW swell. The exception is moderate
gap winds in the Papagayo region. Gentle S to SW winds along 
with seas of 5 to 7 ft in long-period SW swell are over the 
waters S of the monsoon trough between the Galapagos Islands and 
Ecuador.

For the forecast, long period SW swell will propagate through 
the southern Galapagos adjacent waters through Thu. Otherwise, 
an area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of Central 
America and southern Mexico late this week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for development of this system 
thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this 
weekend or early next week while it moves slowly northwestward or
northward. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please see the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Storm Amanda located well SW of Baja California.

Otherwise, high pressure dominates waters N of the monsoon 
trough, with the pressure gradient between the high pressure and 
lower pressure within the monsoon trough generally allowing for 
moderate to fresh trade winds N of the monsoon trough. Seas over
these waters are in the 7 to 9 ft range in a mix of trade wind 
waves and NW to N swell. Mainly gentle winds are S of the monsoon
trough. Seas over these waters are generally 5 to 7 ft, except 
for S of the Equator, where long-period southerly swell has 
created rough seas W of the Galapagos Islands. 

The aforementioned high pressure will weaken some toward the end of 
the week as Tropical Storm Amanda tracks NW over the western 
portion of the area, resulting a a lessening of the trade winds E
of 130W. These winds will become light and variable from 04N to 
12N between 120W to 130W, with seas subsiding to moderate. Little
change is expected elsewhere.

Tropical Storm Amanda is near 10.8N 128.9W at 2 PM PDT, and is
moving west-northwest at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt
with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1006
mb. Amanda will move to 11.5N 129.9W Thu morning, 12.4N 131.0W
Thu afternoon, 13.0N 132.4W Fri morning, 13.3N 133.6W Fri
afternoon, 13.0N 134.3W Sat morning, and 12.6N 134.7W Sat
afternoon. Amanda will weaken to a tropical depression near 12.0N
135.3W Sun afternoon.

$$
Konarik