353 
AXPZ20 KNHC 021532
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
 
...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Genevieve is centered near 24.5N 138.4W at
02/1500 UTC, moving west-northwest at 12 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40
kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak seas are near 16 ft or 5 m. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted within 60 nm in the NE 
semicircle. Genevieve will maintain a gradual weakening trend 
while moving on a west- northwestward track today. The system is 
forecast to become post- tropical by early this week. 

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest
Genevieve NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is along 79W, north of 02N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt.  Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 103W, moving westward at 
around 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 123W, from 02N to 18N, 
moving westward around 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in 
the ITCZ/Monsoon trough section below. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N85W to 09N110W to 11N120W. 
The ITCZ continues from 10N125W to 07N135W to 08N140W. Numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 03N to 10N
between 80W and 90W. Scattered moderate convection is active from
09N to 15N between 95W and 115W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh winds are over the northern Gulf of 
California. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere across 
the region. Moderate seas dominate the open waters off Mexico, 
with slight seas in the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure 
west of the area and lowering pressure over the Colorado River 
Valley will support fresh SW winds and building seas over the 
northern Gulf of California through the early part of next week. 
Elsewhere, a moderate pressure gradient will support mostly 
gentle to moderate NW winds across the offshore waters of Mexico.
Long- period NW swell will move into the waters off Baja 
California Norte tonight then start to subside Tue. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong winds and moderate seas prevail over and 
downstream the Gulf of Papagayo. Gentle to moderate winds are
found between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. Light to gentle
winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will pulse across the 
Papagayo region through the week. Moderate or weaker winds and 
moderate seas in SW swell are expected across the remainder of 
the waters through the period.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Storm Genevieve.

For waters not impacted by Genevieve, high pressure is centered 
just northwest of the area. The pressure gradient between the 
area of high pressure and Genevieve is supporting fresh to 
strong NE winds to the northwest of Genevieve. Seas in this 
region are in the 8 to 10 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds, and
moderate seas, prevail over the remainder of the discussion 
waters. 

For the forecast, the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve will become
post-tropical and move to 25.2N 140.1W this evening, then
continue W-NW and weaken further to a remnant low through Mon. 
Away from Genevieve, little change in marine conditions is 
forecast through the weekend. Rough northerly swell off 
California is likely to push southward into the waters off Baja 
California Norte north of 27N and east of 130W into early next 
week. New large southerly swell may build south of the Equator 
and west of 100W beginning Tue night.

$$
Christensen