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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 200731
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Mar 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0730 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: the pressure gradient between 
high pressure across eastern Mexico and the equatorial trough is
supporting gale-force N-NE winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. 
Seas are 10-12 ft across this region. The gale force winds are 
forecast to continue into early Sat before diminishing. Winds may
briefly lower to just below gale- force this afternoon. 

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more 
information. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 08N77W to 05N91W. The ITCZ extends
from 05N91W to 03N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted 
from 03N to 08N between 120W and 130W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please see Special Features above for information on a gale 
warning in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. 

Aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, a weak pressure gradient is 
generating light to gentle mainly NW winds, except for moderate 
winds off Cabo San Lucas and Cabo Corrientes. Moderate seas 
prevail over the open waters, with slight seas in the Gulf of 
California.

For the forecast, aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec gale 
warning, a weak pressure gradient will support light to gentle 
winds, increasing to moderate to fresh near Baja California this 
weekend as the pressure gradient tightens slightly. Moderate seas
will prevail over the open waters, with slight seas in the Gulf 
of California. Seas are likely to build in fresh N swells off 
Baja California Norte late in the weekend into early next week. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh winds are in the Gulf of Papagayo, with light 
to gentle winds elsewhere. Moderate seas in the 3-5 ft range 
prevail across the discussion waters.

For the forecast, large NW swell generated by the gale-force gap
winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will impact the offshore waters
of Guatemala today. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse 
nightly in the Gulf of Papagayo. Moderate winds will pulse in the
Gulf of Panama starting tonight, with nightly pulses to fresh 
possible next week. Gentle breezes and moderate seas will prevail
elsewhere. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A weak pressure gradient across the area is supporting mostly 
gentle to moderate winds across the open waters. Moderate wave 
heights in the 3-6 ft range prevail.

For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas 
will prevail across the region into the weekend. Fresh N swell 
will build S of 30N from off California by the end of the 
weekend.

$$
AL