706 
AXPZ20 KNHC 050826
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun Jul 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0748 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along 110W, south of 17N, moving 
west at 10 to 15 kt. Associated convection is described below in 
the Intertropical Convergence Zone/Monsoon Trough section.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08.5N79W to 07N96W. The ITCZ 
extends from 07N96W to 08.5N109W, then resumes from 08N113W to 
06N130W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered to numerous moderate 
convection is noted from N of 03N and E of 95W, from 05N to 
08.5N between 88W and 98W, from 08N to 17N between 95W and 120W,
and from 01N to 11N between 120W and 140W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A broad ridge extends from the NE Pacific across the Baja California
waters to the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient
between this ridge and lower pressure over Mexico is supporting 
moderate to locally fresh NW winds offshore Baja California and 
seas 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to locally fresh winds are also present 
over the Gulf of Tehuantepec along with seas 4 to 6 ft. 
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate NW to N winds prevail, with 5-7 ft 
seas in merging NW and SW swell, except for light winds and seas 
1 to 3 ft over the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, the ridge extending into the Baja California 
waters will continue to strengthens across the area today 
through Tue night, leading to moderate to fresh winds across the 
Baja California waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds across the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec will continue through this morning, then 
diminish through the day. Winds will pulse to fresh speeds over
the Gulf of Tehuantepec each night through Thu. Cross- 
equatorial SW swell will reach the waters off southern Mexico on 
Mon, building seas to around 7 ft. Expect fresh southerly winds 
across the northern Gulf of California Tue and Wed becoming 
strong on Thu. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Scattered moderate convection is depicted across the waters N of
06N, across Panama, and Costa Rica. Fresh to strong NE gap winds
continuing across the Papagayo region and extends offshore to 
91W, where seas are 4-8 ft. Mostly gentle to moderate SE to S 
winds are noted elsewhere S of 10N, along with seas seas of 4-6 
ft in cross-equatorial SW swell.

For the forecast, fresh NE to E gap winds across the Papagayo 
region will continue to pulse to strong each night through Thu 
leading to rough seas. Large cross-equatorial southerly swell 
will move into the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands 
late Sun through Tue, building seas to 8 to 9 ft, and 6 to 7 ft 
across much of the remaining waters farther N. The combination of
the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap
winds will allow combined seas to build to 8 ft offshore of 
northern Central America Tue through Wed.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A broad ridge continues across the NE Pacific and north of the
area, extending southeastward to the Revillagigedo Islands. The 
pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnant low of 
Douglas, now a 1012 mb low near 23N130W, is producing fresh to 
strong winds around the low, from 24N to 28N between 127W and 
133W. Peak seas are still to 10 ft across the NW quadrant of 
this low. The ridge draping over this low pressure area continues
to support mostly gentle to moderate NE to E winds elsewhere 
north of 20N and west of 120W, with 5-8 ft seas in a mix of 
swell. East of 120W, a long plume of fresh E winds and 6-8 ft 
seas emerging from the Papagayo gap area is reaching as far west 
as 100W, from 08N to 11N. Gentle breezes are noted elsewhere 
east of 120W. Wave heights are 6-8 ft there in SW swell.
Information for convection across the area can be found in the 
TROPICAL WAVES and INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
sections above. 

For the forecast, winds and seas near the remnants of Douglas 
will gradually diminish through tonight as the remnant low moves
NW, weakens and opens into a trough. The ridge will drift 
southwestward and generally persist across the region through 
early next week, supporting moderate to locally fresh trade winds 
farther south into the tropics. A tropical wave located several 
hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico is 
producing disorganized shower activity. Development of this system 
is no longer anticipated as it moves westward across the central and 
western portions of the East Pacific basin during the next several 
days.

$$
KRV