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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


366 
AXPZ20 KNHC 281528
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Tue Apr 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough axis extends from 09N82W to 12N90W to 12N95W. The ITCZ 
extends from 12N95W to 10N118W to beyond 08N140W. Scattered 
moderate convection is active within 90 nm of the ITCZ between 
102W and 132W. A second ITCZ south of the area, extending from 
03.4S110W to 02S120W and beyond. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Ridging off Baja California combined with troughing over northwest
Mexico supports moderate to fresh winds off the peninsula. Winds
are mainly gentle elsewhere. Combined seas are 5-7 ft off Baja 
California, 3-5 ft off southwest and southern Mexico, and 1-3 ft 
in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, ridging will build over the area into late week.
The pattern will support fresh northwest winds over the Baja 
California waters. Elsewhere, mostly light to gentle west to 
northwest winds are expected through the week. Moderate to fresh 
winds will develop in the central and southern Gulf of 
California Wed and Thu as the pressure gradient tightens 
slightly, and also pulse to fresh to strong from near Punta 
Eugenia southward Thu. Looking ahead, strong to near gale force
gap winds are likely by Sat night across the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle variable winds and 3-6 ft combined seas prevail 
north of the Equator, except for moderate easterly gap winds in
the Papagayo region. Gentle to moderate SE winds prevail south 
of the Equator, within 5-7 ft seas in S to SW swell.

For the forecast, a weak gradient will maintain rather tranquil 
conditions over the Central American and Colombian waters through
the week while moderate to fresh southeast winds and moderate 
long-period south to southwest swell remain offshore Ecuador. 
Seas will subside slightly by the end of the week into the 
weekend. Winds will pulse to moderate to fresh in the Gulf of 
Papagayo and Gulf of Panama nightly through Thu. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The ridge north of the ITCZ is disrupted by weakening trough 
extending from 27N125W to 20N129W. Fresh to strong NE winds are
noted within 60 nm to the west of the trough, where seas are 
estimated to be near 8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds are
found elsewhere north of the ITCZ to 20N west of 120W. Mainly 
Gentle winds are elsewhere across the open waters. Seas are 6-8 
ft in mixed SE and NW swell south of the Equator, and 4-7 ft 
across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will dissipate
tonight, allowing winds and seas nearby to dimish. More general
moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate seas will prevail N of
the ITCZ, N of 10N and W of 125W, into late week. Little change
is expected S of the ITCZ, with gentle winds and moderate seas
persisting. 

$$
Konarik