000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020403
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0350 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Douglas is centered near 16.5N 127.0W at 02/0300
UTC, moving north at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is
1003 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45
kt. Seas of up to 4 m extend up to 150 nm from the center. 
Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is from 16N to 
20N between 124W and 129W. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is elsewhere from 07N to 25N between 120W and 130W. 
Douglas is expected to gradually turn to the northwest late this 
week, continuing similar speed. Slight strengthening is possible
overnight before a steady weakening begins later on Thursday. 
Douglas is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone on Friday.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest 
Four-E NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at 
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave extends from 01N to the Gulf of Tehuantepec. The
axis of the wave is near 95W, and is moving W at 10 kt. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 01N to 11N 
between 90W and 100W. 

A tropical wave is to the east of TS Douglas. The wave extends
from 04N to 18N with axis near 119W, moving W at 10-15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 20N between 115W and
121W. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 05N100W to 12N119W. The 
ITCZ extends westward from 07N140W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical waves, numerous moderate to 
scattered strong convection is from 00N to 11N east of 90W. 
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 
01N to 11N between 100W and 109W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific, 
southeastward to the Baja California offshores. This pressure 
pattern is supporting gentle to moderate NW to N winds and seas 
of 5 to 6 ft in NW swell across the Baja California waters. 
Fresh to locally strong N gap winds continue across the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec with 5 to 6 ft seas in SW swell. Light to gentle
winds are ongoing elsewhere including the Gulf of California.
Seas are moderate in SW swell in the remainder offshores, except
slight in the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, the surface ridge will drift SW and weaken 
through the remainder of the week, producing gentle to moderate 
winds for the Baja California offshore waters. Moderate NW swell 
moving across these waters will maintain moderate seas into Thu 
night. Fresh to strong N gap winds will pulse nightly in the 
Tehuantepec region through the weekend.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to locally strong NE to E gap winds continue to dominate 
the Papagayo region and extend offshore to near 92W. Seas are 7 
to 8 ft across this area. Moderate SE to S winds and 5 to 7 ft 
seas in cross-equatorial SW swell dominate waters S of 02N 
between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. Light to gentle 
winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell prevail across the 
remainder central America and Colombia offshore waters N of 02N. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E gap winds will pulse 
in the Papagayo region into the weekend, leading to occasional 
rough seas. Cross-equatorial southerly swell will keep moderate 
to locally rough seas near the Galapagos Islands through tonight.
Thunderstorms will persist for the offshore waters from Costa 
Rica to Colombia through the weekend. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please see the Special Features section on Tropical Storm Douglas

A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific
southeastward to the Baja California offshore waters, and is 
supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds, and 6 to 7 ft seas 
in N swell, north of 22N and west of 130W, outside the vicinity 
of Tropical Storm Douglas. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are ongoing elsewhere, except near Douglas and the areas of
convection described above.  

For the forecast, Douglas will move to 17.2N 127.2W Thu morning,
18.4N 127.4W Thu evening, weaken to a remnant low near 19.7N 
127.8W Fri morning, 20.9N 128.3W Fri evening, 21.8N 129.1W Sat 
morning, and 22.5N 130.2W Sat evening. Douglas will dissipate 
late Sun. 

$$
Ramos