000
AXPZ20 KNHC 222048
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sun Mar 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 05N89W. The ITCZ 
stretches from 05N89W to beyond 04N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted near and along the ITCZ and W of 118W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh northerly winds prevail in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec. These winds are associated with a moderate pressure 
gradient between a 1020 mb ridge in the Gulf of America and lower
pressures in the deep tropics. Moderate seas prevail in these 
waters. Elsewhere, a broad subtropical ridge located well 
northwest of the area supports moderate to fresh northerly winds 
and moderate seas in the offshore waters of Baja California. In 
the remainder of the basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight 
to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh northerly winds and moderate
seas in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will diminish today. Moderate NW
winds will dominate offshore Baja California. Fresh to strong SE
winds will pulse tonight into Mon in the Gulf of California as 
low pressure deepens to the north. Seas will increase to 8 ft 
west of Guadalupe Island tonight and diminish early on Mon. 
Otherwise, light to gentle winds will dominate the basin. The 
next gap wind event will arrive in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Mon 
night, with pulsing strong to near gale N winds and rough seas 
into late this week. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean Sea 
supports fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas 
across the Gulf of Papagayo, extending downstream to 90W. 
Farther east, a tight pressure gradient forces fresh northerly 
winds and moderate seas across the Gulf of Panama, extending 
south to 03N. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and moderate seas
are prevalent.

For the forecast, strong NE-E winds will pulse nightly in the 
Gulf of Papagayo through much of the week, along with moderate to
rough seas. Moderate to fresh N winds will pulse in the Gulf of 
Panama during this time. Gentle breezes and moderate seas will 
prevail elsewhere. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The broad high pressure positioned north of the tropical eastern
Pacific waters supports moderate to fresh easterly winds and 
moderate seas from the ITCZ to 20N and west of 100W. Another area
of moderate to fresh winds is noted N of 27N and E of 135W.
Moderate seas prevail in this area. Elsewhere, moderate or 
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas 
will generally prevail across the region through the start of 
next week. N swell continues to build N of the area today, 
leading to rough seas just W of Baja California Norte tonight.

$$
ERA