888 
AXPZ20 KNHC 100202
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Thu Jul 10 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 81W north of 05N, moving 
west at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 101W north of 05N, moving 
westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 113W north of 05N, moving 
westward 5 to 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 125W from 06N to 21N, moving
westward at 5 to 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough section below.
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N85W to 08N90W to 11N108W to 
10N117W. The ITCZ continues from 10N117W to 09N123W, and from 
08N126W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
01N to 08N E of 92W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong 
convection is noted from 10N to 17N between 100W and 108W, and
from 04N to 10N between 110W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh winds are noted over the Gulf of Tehuantepec, 
with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere south of southern 
Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds are west of Baja California 
Norte, except for fresh NW winds funneling off Punta Eugenia. 
Gentle winds are elsewhere across the discussion waters. Seas 
are in the 4-6 ft range over the open waters off Mexico, and 1-3 
ft in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong winds will pulse 
overnight in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Winds are forecast to 
strengthen in the northern Gulf of California Thu through Fri 
night. Moderate to fresh winds will be offshore Baja California 
Norte through Thu night, locally strong tonight just S of Punta 
Baja. Mainly gentle to moderate winds will prevail elsewhere. 
Moderate seas will prevail across the open waters over the next 
several days.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate winds are over and downstream of the Gulf of Papagayo. 
Light to gentle winds are elsewhere N of 04N. S of 04N, gentle to
moderate winds prevail. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range, reaching 7
ft between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will pulse across the 
Gulf of Papagayo through late Fri. Gentle to moderate winds will 
prevail between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. Elsewhere, 
light to gentle winds will prevail. Moderate seas in S to SW 
swell will prevail over the regional waters during the period, 
except building to rough S of the Galapagos Islands by the end of
the week. Fresh to strong gap winds may return to the Gulf of 
Papagayo early next week. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the waters north of 20N. Gentle to 
moderate winds prevail north of the ITCZ/monsoon trough. Moderate
to fresh winds are south of the ITCZ/monsoon trough. Southerly 
swell of 7 to 8 ft is impacting the waters south of 05N and west
of 110W. Elsewhere seas are in the 4 to 7 ft range.

For the forecast, cross equatorial, rough southerly swell will 
cover the waters S of 06N and W of 100W through the end of the 
week, with a reinforcing set this weekend. Seas may build to near
8 ft in fresh N swell along 30N between 120W and 130W at the end
of the week into the weekend. Winds will freshen S of the ITCZ 
today, persisting into the weekend. 

$$
AL