000
AXPZ20 KNHC 130242
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri Feb 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from 08.5N78W to 08.5N84W to
03N91.5W. The ITCZ extends from 03N91.5W to 00.5N106W to
04.5N125W to beyond 06N140W. No significant convection is 
noted.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to near gale-force northerly winds are in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec with seas up to 8 ft due to a tight pressure gradient
over the region between 1008 mb low pressure over Mexico near
19.5N98.5W and 1020 mb high pressure over the NW Gulf of America. 
Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters
with a ridge of high pressure reaching across the outer Baja
California offshore waters to offshore SW Mexico, with moderate 
seas, except slight in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, fresh to near gale-force northerly gap winds 
and locally rough seas will pulse through Fri afternoon in the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec region. Strong gap winds may again be active 
across the Gulf of Tehuantepec early next week. Moderate to fresh
NW-N winds will move from the southern Gulf of California Sat
night to near Cabo Corrientes Sun with a locally tight pressure
gradient. A cold front will move across Baja California Norte
early next week with at least fresh winds with it. Rough NW swell
will build offshore Baja California Norte by early Sat into early
Sun, with a more significant set of NW swell associated with the
cold front arriving early next week.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE-E winds along with building seas to 8 ft are 
in the Gulf of Papagayo region. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and
seas of 3 to 5 ft are in the the Gulf of Panama. Moderate or
weaker winds and mainly 4 to 6 ft seas in a mix of swells are
elsewhere. Active convection is near the coast of southern
Colombia and Ecuador.

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds and rough seas will 
persist across the Gulf of Papagayo region into late Sat, then
pulsing to moderate to fresh into early next week. Winds will
increase back to fresh to strong by Tue night. Little change is 
expected with the winds in the Gulf of Panama through Fri, before
diminishing slightly afterward. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas will persist elsewhere.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Low pressure that was over the NW waters has dissipated during
the past few hours with a remnant trough from 29N125W to 24N124W.
A tight pressure gradient between the trough and high pressure to
the northwest is supporting fresh to strong NE-E winds mainly
north of 25N and west of the trough. Rough to very rough seas are
north of 20N and west of 125W. Another trough is analyzed from
16N131W to 10N136W supporting moderate to fresh trades from 06N
to 25N west of 128W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft across these waters.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the fresh to strong winds in the NW waters will
persist through Fri morning before diminishing slightly as the
pressure gradient weakens. A cold front is forecast to push
southeast of 30N140W Sat with fresh to strong winds behind it.
The front will reach from 30N124W to 21N140W by Sun evening, 
then from near Baja California Norte to 20N124W Mon evening with 
fresh to strong winds behind it becoming confined to the waters 
north of 30N by early Tue. Rough to very rough seas over the 
northwest waters will gradually decay into Sat. An even larger 
set of NW swell with the cold front will arrive in the NW waters 
Sat night, spreading across the waters north of 07N and west of 
115W by Tue night. Meanwhile, pulsing moderate to fresh trades in
the west-central waters will persist into early next week, then 
increase to fresh to strong Tue as the pressure gradient there 
tightens. Locally rough seas with the trades will build as the 
trades increase Tue.

$$
Lewitsky