000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020934
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0920 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Douglas is centered near 17.0N 127.1W at 02/0900
UTC, moving north at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is
1003 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45
kt. Seas of up to 4.5 m extend up to 150 nm from the center. 
Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is from 16N to 
20N between 124W and 129W. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is elsewhere from 07N to 25N between 120W and 130W. 
Douglas is expected to gradually turn to the northwest later tonight
through the end of the week. Although some slight strengthening 
is possible the next several hours, a weakening trend is forecast
tonight into Friday. Douglas is forecast to become a post-tropical
cyclone on Friday.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest 
Four-E NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at 
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave extends from 01N to the Oaxaca offshore waters. 
The axis of the wave is near 96W, and is moving W at 10-15 kt. 
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 
01N to 13N between 90W and 105W. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 04N97W to 10N120W. The
ITCZ extends westward from 07N140W. Aside from the convection 
associated with the tropical wave, numerous moderate to 
scattered strong convection is from 01N to 12N east of 90W. 
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 
00N to 07N between 102W and 110W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific, 
southeastward to the Baja California offshores. This pressure 
pattern is supporting gentle to moderate NW to N winds and seas 
of 5 to 6 ft in NW swell across the Baja California waters. 
Fresh to locally strong N gap winds continue across the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec with 6 to 7 ft seas in SW swell. Light to gentle 
winds are ongoing elsewhere including the Gulf of California. 
Seas are moderate in SW swell in the remainder offshores, except 
slight in the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, the surface ridge will drift SW and weaken 
through the remainder of the week, producing gentle to moderate 
winds for the Baja California offshore waters. Moderate NW swell 
moving across these waters will maintain moderate seas through 
tonight. Fresh to strong N gap winds will pulse nightly in the 
Tehuantepec region through early next week.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE to E gap winds continue to dominate the 
Papagayo region and extend offshore to near 90W. Seas are 6 to 8
ft across this area. Moderate SE to S winds and 5 to 7 ft seas 
in cross-equatorial SW swell dominate waters S of 02N between the
Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. Light to gentle winds and seas at
4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell prevail across the remainder central 
America and Colombia offshore waters N of 02N. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E gap winds will pulse 
in the Papagayo region into early next week, leading to 
occasional rough seas. Cross-equatorial southerly swell will keep
moderate seas near the Galapagos Islands through Mon night. 
Thunderstorms will persist for the offshore waters between Costa 
Rica and Colombia through at least the weekend. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please see the Special Features section on Tropical Storm Douglas

A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific
southeastward to the Baja California offshore waters, and is 
supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds, and 6 to 7 ft seas 
in N swell, north of 22N and west of 130W, outside the vicinity 
of Tropical Storm Douglas. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are ongoing elsewhere, except near Douglas and the areas of
convection described above.  

For the forecast, Douglas will move to 17.8N 127.3W this 
afternoon, weaken to a tropical depression near 19.0N 127.6W Fri 
morning, become a remnant low and move to 20.2N 128.2W Fri 
afternoon, 21.2N 128.8W Sat morning, 22.1N 129.7W Sat afternoon, 
and 23.0N 130.6W Sun morning. Douglas will dissipate early Mon. 

$$
Ramos