000
AXNT20 KNHC 101000
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Nov 10 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from 996 mb
low pressure near 31N39W to 23N50W. Ahead of this front, gale-
force southwesterlies are present N of 26N and E of 39W, extending
to about 30W. Very rough seas of up to 20 ft extend beyond this
area of gales southward to 22W and westward to 45W. This low
pressure and cold front will move rapidly east, ending gales west
of 35W this morning. However, very rough seas will prevail into
tonight, with rough seas decaying below 8 ft Wed evening. 

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National 
Hurricane Center at website: 
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from 12N16W to 10N20W. The ITCZ extends
from 10N20W to 07N35W to 08N52W. Scattered moderate convection is
from 03N to 09N east of 40W.

GULF OF AMERICA...

1023 mb high pressure is centered over the lower Mississippi
Valley. This is supporting mainly gentle to moderate winds and
slight seas through the basin. A surface trough extending from the
mouth of the Rio Grande to just offshore Vercruz, Mexico, is
inducing scattered moderate convection within 60 nm either side of
its axis. 

For the forecast, winds will diminish further until Wed night, 
when a cold front will exit the Texas coast and move SE through 
the basin, exiting by Fri. The front will bring fresh to locally 
strong winds and building seas. High pressure will settle in in 
the wake of the front this weekend with moderate to fresh easterly
winds expected. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
fresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderate
to fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-central
Caribbean and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection
is noted in and near the Gulf of Honduras, where trade winds are
converging. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas 
will prevail over the south-central Caribbean through Thu, with 
mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient 
will weaken Thu night into Fri as a cold front approaches the 
Yucatan Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate to fresh NW winds 
and building seas are possible behind this front in the NW basin 
into the weekend. 


...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning for waters N of 25N and E of 40W.

In addition to the gale center listed in the Special Features
section, a weak 1015 mb low pressure is centered near 27N67W. A
cold front extends from 31N56W to the low pressure to the SE
Bahamas. Outside the area of winds and seas described in the 
Special Features near the gale center, gentle to moderate winds 
and moderate seas in a mix of swell.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front and 
low will move east through tonight and exit the region by Wed. 
Another front will move off the SE U.S. coast Thu, bringing fresh 
to strong winds and building seas on both sides of it, that will 
prevail into the weekend. By early Sat, the front will extend from
Bermuda to the SE Bahamas.

$$
Konarik