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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seventeen-E Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172025
300 PM CST Sun Sep 20 2026
 
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...14.9N 104.9W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Seventeen-E was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 104.9
West.  The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 8 
mph (13 km/h), and a turn toward the east is expected on Tuesday, 
followed by a decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the north 
and northwest on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Significant strengthening is forecast, and the system is forecast to 
become a tropical storm by Monday and a hurricane by Tuesday. 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Seventeen-E can be found in 
the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header 
MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. 

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce rainfall totals of 
4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across 
coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacán, Colima, and 
Jalisco through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening 
flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
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